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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 18, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 64% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:22Shot by Chiarot, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 1:45Shot by Kane, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 1:54Shot by Spence, saved by Gibson
  6. P1 4:23Shot by Chabot, saved by Gibson
  7. P1 4:25Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Gibson
  8. P1 4:26Goal by Batherson (Zetterlund, Chabot)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond, Edvinsson · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Batherson, Stützle

  9. P1 4:47Copp: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Copp, DeBrincat, Sandin-Pellikka · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Pinto

  10. P1 5:05Goal by Cozens (Tkachuk, Batherson)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle

  11. P1 5:22Cousins: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Appleton, Rasmussen, Seider, Soderblom, Edvinsson · OTT Perron, Eller, Cousins, Spence, Kleven

  12. P1 6:35Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Reimer5v4
  13. P1 7:16Goal by Sandin-Pellikka (Kane, Copp)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, Compher, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · OTT Chabot, Pinto, Greig, Kleven

  14. P1 8:00Batherson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Appleton, Soderblom, Edvinsson · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Pinto

  15. P1 8:00Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Appleton, Soderblom, Edvinsson · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Pinto

  16. P1 8:00Soderblom: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Appleton, Soderblom, Edvinsson · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Pinto

  17. P1 8:00Chabot: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Appleton, Soderblom, Edvinsson · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Pinto

  18. P1 8:00Appleton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Appleton, Soderblom, Edvinsson · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Pinto

  19. P1 8:19Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Reimer5v4
  20. P1 8:20Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Reimer5v4
  21. P1 13:14Shot by Johansson, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 15:00Shot by Johansson, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 15:26Shot by Sanderson, saved by Gibson
  24. P1 16:34Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Gibson
  25. P1 16:56Seider: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Compher, Seider, Edvinsson, Finnie · OTT Perron, Eller, Cousins, Sanderson, Zub

  26. P1 16:58Shot by Batherson, saved by Gibson4v5
  27. P1 19:00Shot by Giroux, saved by Gibson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:31Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gibson
  31. P2 1:12Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 1:30Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 2:11Shot by Kasper, saved by Reimer
  34. P2 3:48Shot by Zub, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 4:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gibson
  36. P2 4:42Shot by Cozens, saved by Gibson
  37. P2 4:54Shot by Seider, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 6:06Goal by Raymond (Kasper, Chiarot)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka · OTT Perron, Jensen, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson

  39. P2 6:34Shot by Eller, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 7:21Shot by Zub, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 7:38Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Gibson
  42. P2 9:42Greig: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub

  43. P2 9:55Shot by Larkin, saved by Reimer5v4
  44. P2 9:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Reimer5v4
  45. P2 11:33Shot by Copp, saved by Reimer5v4
  46. P2 13:02Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Reimer
  47. P2 13:55Shot by Kasper, saved by Reimer
  48. P2 16:17Perron: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Compher, Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Finnie · OTT Perron, Eller, Jensen, Cousins, Chabot

  49. P2 16:32Shot by Larkin, saved by Reimer5v4
  50. P2 16:48Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Reimer5v4
  51. P2 16:50Shot by Larkin, saved by Reimer5v4
  52. P2 16:53Goal by van Riemsdyk (Larkin, DeBrincat)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider · OTT Giroux, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  53. P2 17:50Shot by Stützle, saved by Gibson5v6
  54. P2 18:00Soderblom: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Compher, Johansson, Finnie · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Spence, Kleven, Stützle

  55. P2 18:16Shot by Giroux, saved by Gibson4v5
  56. P2 19:05Goal by Pinto (Giroux, Perron)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Appleton, Bernard-Docker, Kasper · OTT Giroux, Perron, Chabot, Pinto, Greig

  57. P2 19:28Shot by Copp, saved by Reimer
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:49Tkachuk: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond, Edvinsson · OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Kleven

  61. P3 1:12Shot by Stützle, saved by Gibson5v4
  62. P3 1:42Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Reimer5v4
  63. P3 2:08Shot by Compher, saved by Reimer5v4
  64. P3 2:12Shot by Raymond, saved by Reimer5v4
  65. P3 3:08Shot by Appleton, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 4:31Shot by Cozens, saved by Gibson
  67. P3 6:25Shot by Soderblom, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 8:43Shot by Compher, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 10:18Shot by Soderblom, saved by Reimer
  70. P3 11:40Shot by Finnie, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 12:05Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gibson
  72. P3 16:08Shot by Seider, saved by Reimer
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 0:36Goal by DeBrincat (Copp)3v3+51 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, DeBrincat, Seider · OTT Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  76. OT 0:36Period end3v3
  77. OT 0:36Final4v4