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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 18, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 64% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake SandersonD · #85000−2126:060.1568.8%0.0
Artem ZubD · #20000222:260.1069.7%0.0
Ridly GreigC · #710000019:570.1980.8%0.0
Thomas ChabotD · #72011+1119:420.1853.5%+14.9
Tim StützleC · #180000218:240.1070.4%0.0
Shane PintoC · #12101−1117:550.1348.7%+29.0
Nick JensenD · #30000017:380.0051.0%0.0
Claude GirouxRW · #280110216:500.1955.3%+29.0
Tyler KlevenD · #430000016:440.0054.0%0.0
Brady TkachukLW · #7011−1316:420.3378.5%+10.9
Dylan CozensC · #241010316:230.6470.9%+10.9
Jordan SpenceD · #100000114:570.0465.7%0.0
Drake BathersonRW · #19112+1214:370.2962.4%+25.8
Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20011+1313:460.3965.4%+14.9
Michael AmadioRW · #22000−1011:510.0037.9%0.0
David PerronLW · #57011−1011:110.0022.1%+29.0
Nick CousinsC · #21000009:200.0222.1%0.0
Lars EllerC · #89000019:170.1022.2%0.0
James Reimer#47O34304.8823.71−0.360:08

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Alex DeBrincatRW · #93112+1723:140.5331.9%+76.4
Ben ChiarotD · #80110122:390.0436.9%+17.4
Moritz SeiderD · #53000+1222:360.0554.5%0.0
Simon EdvinssonD · #77000−1021:580.0038.4%0.0
Patrick KaneRW · #880110121:030.0533.9%+12.7
Andrew CoppC · #18022+1219:510.5136.2%+63.6
Dylan LarkinC · #710110419:240.6911.8%+25.4
Albert JohanssonD · #200000217:330.0651.7%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #21101−1315:190.5231.0%+25.4
Lucas RaymondLW · #231010214:210.1220.3%+17.4
Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #44101+1114:020.0822.3%+12.7
Marco KasperC · #92011+1213:420.1947.2%+17.4
Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #250000113:220.0743.6%0.0
J.T. CompherLW · #370000212:440.2856.3%0.0
Mason AppletonC · #220000112:140.2474.3%0.0
Michael RasmussenC · #270000011:580.0476.9%0.0
Elmer SoderblomLW · #850000211:380.1677.8%0.0
Emmitt FinnieC · #580000111:260.0958.7%0.0
John Gibson#36W22193.8642.83−0.259:57