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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 19, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Buffalo Sabres

1

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 61% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:33Goal by Dahlin (Quinn, Zucker)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  3. P1 2:26Shot by Blake, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 3:05Shot by Ehlers, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 3:50Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 4:58Shot by Hall, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 5:53Shot by Byram, saved by Bussi
  8. P1 7:04Goal by Svechnikov (Aho, Walker)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  9. P1 9:04Shot by Dahlin, saved by Bussi
  10. P1 11:43Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 12:06Shot by Robinson, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 12:13Shot by Martinook, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 12:49Shot by Ehlers, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 16:00Shot by Miller, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 16:31Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen
  16. P1 18:05Shot by Hall, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:45Shot by Krebs, saved by Bussi
  20. P2 3:22Shot by Blake, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P2 3:53Shot by Stankoven, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P2 3:55Shot by Hall, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P2 7:15Svechnikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Aho, Svechnikov, Nikishin, Blake, Nystrom · BUF Zucker, Malenstyn, Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs

  24. P2 8:29Shot by Thompson, saved by Bussi4v5
  25. P2 9:30Shot by McLeod, saved by Bussi
  26. P2 11:32Shot by Dahlin, saved by Bussi
  27. P2 11:35Svechnikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Benson, Helenius

  28. P2 11:35Dahlin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Benson, Helenius

  29. P2 11:49Shot by Power, saved by Bussi4v4
  30. P2 13:01Shot by Nikishin, saved by Luukkonen4v4
  31. P2 15:16Shot by Bryson, saved by Bussi
  32. P2 16:08Shot by Staal, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  33. P2 16:10Dahlin: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Doan

  34. P2 16:12Shot by Nikishin, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  35. P2 17:38Shot by Nikishin, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  36. P2 18:16Shot by Walker, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 18:37Shot by Thompson, saved by Bussi
  38. P2 19:42Shot by Byram, saved by Bussi
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 2:03Power: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hall, Miller, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · BUF Byram, Doan, Power, Ostlund, Helenius

  42. P3 2:08Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  43. P3 2:10Goal by Jarvis (Svechnikov, Aho)5v4+32 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Byram

  44. P3 2:30Shot by Thompson, saved by Bussi
  45. P3 4:42Shot by Nystrom, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P3 7:02Shot by Jarvis, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P3 7:50Shot by Staal, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P3 7:58Shot by Staal, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P3 8:03Shot by Jankowski, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P3 8:41Shot by Carrier, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P3 10:07Shot by Thompson, saved by Bussi
  52. P3 11:27Shot by Miller, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 14:09Shot by Benson, saved by Bussi
  54. P3 14:28Shot by Power, saved by Bussi
  55. P3 16:43Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Bussi
  56. P3 17:31Svechnikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Power

  57. P3 17:31McLeod: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Power

  58. P3 19:38Shot by Thompson, saved by Bussi5v6
  59. P3 19:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Bussi5v6
  60. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  61. P3 0:00Final5v6