Mon, Jan 19, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 61% of the time.
52%
9%
9%
29%
CAR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Tuch–Thompson–Benson | Malenstyn–Krebs–Kozak | Doan–Ostlund–Helenius | Tuch–Thompson–Doan | Ostlund–Benson–Helenius | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Byram–Power | Bryson–Metsa | Samuelsson–Byram | Dahlin–Power | Samuelsson–Power | Dahlin–Byram | Samuelsson–Metsa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | 7:390.45–0.17 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 3:410.33–0.07 | 2:390.14–0.21 | 2:380.09–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.10 | 0:540.09–0.00 | |||||
| Staal–Martinook–Ehlers | 6:530.23–0.35 | 3:210.24–0.11 | 2:050.08–0.09 | 5:410.20–0.26 | 1:330.04–0.11 | 0:380.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Hall–Stankoven–Blake | 1:490.12–0.00 | 4:180.20–0.10 | 2:220.00–0.30 | 1:570.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.10 | 4:250.32–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.30 | 0:440.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Jankowski–Carrier–Blake | 2:090.13–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.15 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 0:440.13–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Jankowski–Carrier–Robinson | 1:490.11–0.00 | 1:210.11–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Jankowski–Carrier–Jarvis | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Staal–Ehlers–Jarvis | ||||||||||||||
| Walker–Miller | 5:260.28–0.17 | 1:020.08–0.09 | 3:110.18–0.00 | 2:370.04–0.07 | 1:370.00–0.08 | 6:270.23–0.15 | 2:140.14–0.21 | 1:060.18–0.00 | 3:110.04–0.07 | 1:340.03–0.08 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.10 | ||
| Slavin–Chatfield | 1:330.00–0.00 | 6:360.15–0.27 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 2:130.20–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.15 | 2:040.18–0.05 | 7:350.20–0.26 | 1:070.05–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.17 | 1:100.05–0.01 | |
| Nikishin–Nystrom | 1:250.09–0.00 | 6:390.35–0.00 | 2:060.40–0.10 | 0:580.00–0.22 | 4:140.47–0.00 | 1:120.05–0.10 | 3:210.14–0.00 | 1:310.09–0.22 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:410.09–0.00 | ||||
| Miller–Nikishin | ||||||||||||||
| Slavin–Miller | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 27 | 27:33 | 1:01 | 2:25 | 1 | 6 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 25:03 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 3 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 27 | 25:01 | 0:56 | 2:00 | 3 | 2 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 23 | 22:53 | 1:00 | 2:29 | 4 | 4 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 24 | 22:50 | 0:57 | 2:29 | 4 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 23 | 22:47 | 0:59 | 2:29 | 3 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 28 | 22:07 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 |
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 25 | 21:57 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 4 | 2 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 24 | 21:43 | 0:54 | 1:53 | 5 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 21 | 19:55 | 0:57 | 1:35 | 3 | 4 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 24 | 19:44 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 4 | 5 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 22 | 19:38 | 0:54 | 2:34 | 4 | 3 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 24 | 19:16 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 4 | 2 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 22 | 18:35 | 0:51 | 1:41 | 3 | 2 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 22 | 17:48 | 0:49 | 1:57 | 4 | 1 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 20 | 17:30 | 0:53 | 2:29 | 2 | 2 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 24 | 17:17 | 0:43 | 2:00 | 5 | 3 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 20 | 17:07 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 4 | 0 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 22 | 16:49 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 2 | 4 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 19 | 16:05 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 2 | 0 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 19 | 15:23 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 1 | 0 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 17 | 14:59 | 0:53 | 2:51 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 23 | 14:44 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 4 | 5 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 20 | 14:31 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Joel NystromCAR | 19 | 13:08 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 3 | 0 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 15 | 12:53 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 1 | 0 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 16 | 12:37 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 0 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 16 | 11:04 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 1 | 4 |
 Konsta HeleniusBUF | 15 | 10:47 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 0 | 0 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 16 | 10:28 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 1 | 5 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 16 | 10:23 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 1 | 5 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 15 | 9:45 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 5 | 1 |
 William CarrierCAR | 16 | 9:36 | 0:36 | 0:57 | 5 | 1 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 10 | 8:41 | 0:52 | 1:15 | 0 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 12 | 8:00 | 0:40 | 0:56 | 0 | 1 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 4 | 2:02 | 0:31 | 0:38 | 2 | 0 |