Mon, Jan 19, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 61% of the time.
52%
9%
9%
29%
CAR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:33 | 0.22 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:03 | 0.26 | 36.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:01 | 0.19 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22:47 | 0.77 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.22 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:55 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.24 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.05 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.18 | 46.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.01 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.08 | 40.5% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.01 | 2.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.10 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:23 | 0.00 | 3.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:41 | 0.00 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:00 | 0.06 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.73 | +0.7 | 57:50 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:53 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:50 | 0.13 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:57 | 0.08 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21:43 | 0.51 | 59.5% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.72 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:38 | 0.11 | 63.1% | +46.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.03 | 45.2% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.15 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.11 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.14 | 65.4% | +46.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.12 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.40 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.02 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:53 | 0.26 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.04 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.09 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:36 | 0.03 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:02 | 0.11 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 2.40 | +1.4 | 59:24 |