Mon, Jan 19, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Minnesota Wild 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 81% of the time.
14%
76%
TOR winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 26:33 | 0.09 | 53.4% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 24:25 | 0.15 | 52.6% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 22:47 | 0.67 | 71.5% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.21 | 76.7% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:52 | 0.58 | 70.1% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:28 | 0.00 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.13 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 16:15 | 0.75 | 46.5% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.16 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.01 | 42.9% | +2.7 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1.00 | 48.5% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 13.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.01 | 1.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.03 | 36.8% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:13 | 0.55 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 9:59 | 0.34 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 8:00 | 0.24 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:25 | 0.02 | 43.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.68 | −0.3 | 59:56 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:18 | 0.16 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.09 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 19:38 | 0.27 | 22.9% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.12 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.15 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:11 | 0.00 | 52.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:00 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 17:36 | 0.59 | 53.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.19 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.05 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:04 | 0.29 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.03 | 35.4% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:43 | 0.07 | 51.9% | +1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.17 | 51.9% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.35 | 93.9% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.15 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.58 | +0.6 | 19:24 | |
| L | 29 | 24 | 5 | .828 | 3.23 | −1.8 | 40:00 |