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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 21, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (OT)

Away

Detroit Red Wings

2

Final

Overtime

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll
  3. P1 1:15Shot by Matthews, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 1:19Shot by McCabe, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 1:42Shot by Compher, saved by Woll
  6. P1 2:32Shot by Soderblom, saved by Woll
  7. P1 3:21Shot by McMann, saved by Gibson
  8. P1 3:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Gibson
  9. P1 4:46Goal by Laughton (Jarnkrok, Lorentz)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Laughton, Lorentz, Stecher · DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Compher, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie

  10. P1 5:07Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Woll
  11. P1 5:37Cowan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Cowan · DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Bernard-Docker, Johansson

  12. P1 6:03Shot by Stecher, saved by Gibson4v5
  13. P1 6:29Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll4v5
  14. P1 6:31Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll4v5
  15. P1 6:48Shot by Laughton, saved by Gibson4v5
  16. P1 7:36Shot by Compher, saved by Woll4v5
  17. P1 9:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Gibson
  18. P1 9:18Shot by Domi, saved by Gibson
  19. P1 11:05Shot by Soderblom, saved by Woll
  20. P1 12:09Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll
  21. P1 12:23Shot by Kane, saved by Woll
  22. P1 12:31Shot by Chiarot, saved by Woll
  23. P1 13:56Shot by Carlo, saved by Gibson
  24. P1 16:46Shot by Tavares, saved by Gibson
  25. P1 17:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Woll
  26. P1 19:05Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll
  27. P1 19:10Shot by Johansson, saved by Woll
  28. P1 19:42Goal by Edvinsson (Raymond, Larkin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Carlo, Matthews, McMann · DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper

  29. P1 19:56Shot by Stecher, saved by Gibson
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 3:43Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Woll
  33. P2 4:28Bernard-Docker: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Carlo, Matthews, McMann · DET Kane, Chiarot, Copp, DeBrincat, Bernard-Docker

  34. P2 4:58Shot by Knies, saved by Gibson5v4
  35. P2 5:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Gibson5v4
  36. P2 6:08Shot by McCabe, saved by Gibson5v4
  37. P2 6:10Shot by Maccelli, saved by Gibson5v4
  38. P2 6:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Gibson5v4
  39. P2 7:19Shot by Seider, saved by Woll
  40. P2 7:49Shot by Robertson, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 9:17Shot by Maccelli, saved by Gibson
  42. P2 9:31van Riemsdyk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Stecher, Benoit, Maccelli, Knies · DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Compher, Bernard-Docker, Finnie

  43. P2 10:01Shot by Rielly, saved by Gibson5v4
  44. P2 10:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Gibson5v4
  45. P2 10:47Shot by Domi, saved by Gibson5v4
  46. P2 11:53Shot by Benoit, saved by Gibson
  47. P2 12:24Shot by Raymond, saved by Woll
  48. P2 13:49Shot by Chiarot, saved by Woll
  49. P2 14:49Jarnkrok: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Laughton, Carlo, Lorentz, Stecher · DET van Riemsdyk, Compher, Johansson, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie

  50. P2 16:41Edvinsson: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Laughton, Carlo, Lorentz, Benoit · DET Kane, Copp, Compher, Edvinsson, Kasper

  51. P2 16:41Shot by Laughton, saved by Gibsonother
  52. P2 17:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Gibson
  53. P2 17:58Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll
  54. P2 18:30Shot by Chiarot, saved by Woll
  55. P2 18:43Shot by McCabe, saved by Gibson
  56. P2 18:57Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:38Shot by Kasper, saved by Woll
  60. P3 1:22Shot by Chiarot, saved by Woll
  61. P3 1:47Shot by Stecher, saved by Gibson
  62. P3 2:23Shot by Appleton, saved by Woll
  63. P3 2:29Shot by Seider, saved by Woll
  64. P3 2:32Shot by Soderblom, saved by Woll
  65. P3 2:52Shot by Chiarot, saved by Woll
  66. P3 4:02Shot by Kasper, saved by Woll
  67. P3 6:11Shot by Copp, saved by Woll
  68. P3 6:45Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Woll
  69. P3 6:54Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Woll
  70. P3 7:24Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Woll
  71. P3 9:57Shot by Matthews, saved by Gibson
  72. P3 10:14Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll
  73. P3 14:08Shot by Tavares, saved by Gibson
  74. P3 14:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Gibson
  75. P3 14:25Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Woll
  76. P3 16:27Shot by Robertson, saved by Gibson
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 0:21Shot by Raymond, saved by Woll3v3
  80. OT 0:42Shot by Larkin, saved by Woll3v3
  81. OT 1:30Shot by Copp, saved by Woll3v3
  82. OT 1:34Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Woll3v3
  83. OT 2:13Shot by Kasper, saved by Woll3v3
  84. OT 3:08Goal by Larkin (Seider)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Cowan · DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond

  85. OT 3:08Period end4v3
  86. OT 3:08Final4v4