Wed, Jan 21, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
53%
32%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 27:46 | 0.09 | 51.2% | +49.1 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:45 | 0.20 | 45.7% | +19.8 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:49 | 0.04 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:40 | 0.11 | 68.1% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 19:17 | 0.51 | 37.7% | +68.9 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.18 | 39.7% | +19.8 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17:55 | 0.89 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.04 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.14 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.30 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.24 | 81.2% | 0.0 |
 Mason AppletonC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.03 | 80.7% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.18 | 6.5% | 0.0 |
 Elmer SoderblomLW · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:07 | 0.18 | 80.3% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.04 | 12.0% | 0.0 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:55 | 0.02 | 12.7% | 0.0 |
 Emmitt FinnieC · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:58 | 0.00 | 9.4% | 0.0 |
 John Gibson#36 | W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 3.84 | +2.8 | 63:08 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 28:09 | 0.17 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:28 | 0.01 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:32 | 0.43 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 22:39 | 0.67 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.11 | 63.4% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.20 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.01 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:45 | 0.69 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.19 | 60.6% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.35 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:19 | 0.40 | 46.1% | +13.1 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.07 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 41.7% | +13.1 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.17 | 63.6% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.17 | 67.4% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.06 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.11 | 45.0% | +13.1 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:50 | 0.02 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | O | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 3.20 | +1.2 | 63:08 |