Wed, Jan 21, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 60% of the time.
31%
9%
9%
51%
CGY winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:14 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:39 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:47 | 0.28 | 73.0% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.06 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:14 | 0.16 | 38.9% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.04 | 71.8% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.11 | 38.9% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.35 | 41.2% | +16.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 15:26 | 0.15 | 68.5% | +31.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.13 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.37 | 69.8% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.10 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:32 | 0.38 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.28 | 68.5% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.25 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.08 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 2.16 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:12 | 0.08 | 55.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:34 | 0.10 | 59.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.02 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.19 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:02 | 0.14 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:58 | 0.34 | 50.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.04 | 12.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.22 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.08 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.15 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.01 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.00 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.35 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.03 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.33 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:51 | 0.09 | 78.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.72 | −1.3 | 60:00 |