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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 23, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Vegas Golden Knights 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Vegas Golden Knights

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.

TOR winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Goal by Eichel (Stone, Barbashev)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMann · VGK Stone, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel, Lauzon

  3. P1 2:05Shot by Laczynski, saved by Stolarz
  4. P1 2:53Shot by Knies, saved by Hill
  5. P1 4:28Shot by Kolesar, saved by Stolarz
  6. P1 4:29Shot by Rondbjerg, saved by Stolarz
  7. P1 4:31Goal by Kolesar (Rondbjerg, Smith)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Roy, Stecher, Benoit, Robertson, Cowan · VGK Smith, Hutton, Kolesar, Rondbjerg, Korczak

  8. P1 5:25Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Hill
  9. P1 6:52Shot by Andersson, saved by Stolarz
  10. P1 7:01Laughton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Laughton, McCabe, Lorentz · VGK Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Andersson, Eichel

  11. P1 7:14Shot by Hertl, saved by Stolarz4v5
  12. P1 9:53Shot by Andersson, saved by Stolarz
  13. P1 10:57Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Hill
  14. P1 15:56Shot by Rondbjerg, saved by Stolarz
  15. P1 16:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Hill
  16. P1 17:55Shot by Laczynski, saved by Stolarz
  17. P1 18:11Shot by Domi, saved by Hill
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:13Goal by Tavares (Knies, Maccelli)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Carlo, Maccelli, Knies · VGK Hertl, Hanifin, Andersson, Marner, Dorofeyev

  21. P2 0:25Shot by Eichel, saved by Stolarz
  22. P2 0:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill
  23. P2 2:40Shot by Laczynski, saved by Stolarz
  24. P2 3:32Goal by Dorofeyev, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Stecher, Maccelli, Knies · VGK Hertl, Theodore, Lauzon, Marner, Dorofeyev

  25. P2 4:47Shot by Smith, saved by Stolarz
  26. P2 5:16Goal by Bowman (Laczynski, Holtz)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Laughton, Carlo, Lorentz · VGK Theodore, Lauzon, Laczynski, Holtz, Bowman

  27. P2 5:45Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Hill
  28. P2 8:46Shot by Laczynski, saved by Stolarz
  29. P2 10:04Goal by Laughton (Knies)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, Carlo, Maccelli, Knies · VGK Hertl, Theodore, Barbashev, Lauzon, Dorofeyev

  30. P2 10:15Shot by McMann, saved by Hill
  31. P2 10:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill
  32. P2 12:16Shot by Knies, saved by Hill
  33. P2 14:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Hill
  34. P2 15:26Shot by McMann, saved by Hill
  35. P2 17:52Shot by Cowan, saved by Hill
  36. P2 18:19Goal by McMann (Domi, Rielly)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMann · VGK Theodore, Lauzon, Laczynski, Holtz, Bowman

  37. P2 18:44Shot by Rondbjerg, saved by Stolarz
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 2:19Shot by Bowman, saved by Stolarz
  41. P3 2:57Shot by Hertl, saved by Stolarz
  42. P3 3:00Shot by Marner, saved by Stolarz
  43. P3 4:16Shot by Barbashev, saved by Stolarz
  44. P3 6:48Shot by Benoit, saved by Hill
  45. P3 7:29Shot by McMann, saved by Hill
  46. P3 8:04Shot by Kolesar, saved by Stolarz
  47. P3 8:21Shot by Knies, saved by Hill
  48. P3 9:56Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Stolarz
  49. P3 10:10Shot by Holtz, saved by Stolarz
  50. P3 12:27Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Stolarz
  51. P3 12:37Hertl: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Matthews, Robertson, McMann · VGK Hertl, Theodore, Lauzon, Marner, Dorofeyev

  52. P3 15:11Goal by Stone (Barbashev)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Carlo, Roy, McMann · VGK Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Andersson, Eichel

  53. P3 16:30Shot by Kolesar, saved by Stolarz
  54. P3 16:34Shot by Kolesar, saved by Stolarz
  55. P3 16:51Shot by Eichel, saved by Stolarz
  56. P3 17:00Shot by Stone, saved by Stolarz
  57. P3 18:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill6v5
  58. P3 18:39Shot by Tavares, saved by Hill6v5
  59. P3 19:01Goal by Stone (Eichel, Andersson)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Domi, Matthews, Maccelli, Knies · VGK Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Andersson, Eichel

  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final