Fri, Jan 23, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Vegas Golden Knights 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.
25%
9%
58%
TOR winsVGK wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stone–Barbashev–Eichel | Hertl–Marner–Dorofeyev | Smith–Kolesar–Rondbjerg | Laczynski–Holtz–Bowman | Hanifin–Andersson | Theodore–Lauzon | Hutton–Korczak | Theodore–Hanifin | Andersson–Lauzon | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domi–Matthews–McMann | 8:290.36–0.43 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:480.33–0.05 | 5:330.18–0.26 | 4:360.34–0.18 | 1:050.00–0.05 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:080.19–0.00 |
| Tavares–Maccelli–Knies | 6:020.59–0.26 | 3:030.04–0.08 | 0:590.01–0.00 | 4:180.42–0.04 | 5:390.30–0.30 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.02 | ||
| Roy–Robertson–Cowan | 1:240.00–0.13 | 5:510.05–0.43 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.09 | 2:010.00–0.00 | 5:470.15–0.46 | |||
| Jarnkrok–Laughton–Lorentz | 1:070.00–0.00 | 2:160.14–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:410.04–0.19 | 2:340.04–0.07 | 4:030.14–0.05 | |||
| Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | 8:330.41–0.29 | 1:520.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 6:360.27–0.08 | 4:530.14–0.24 | 0:590.00–0.00 | ||
| Rielly–Carlo | 0:420.00–0.00 | 3:480.37–0.03 | 2:300.04–0.02 | 2:490.04–0.34 | 3:490.41–0.07 | 2:590.04–0.09 | 3:130.15–0.12 | ||
| Stecher–Benoit | 0:410.00–0.00 | 5:500.05–0.60 | 0:590.00–0.03 | 1:110.00–0.04 | 2:240.13–0.00 | 4:040.00–0.46 | |||
| McCabe–Stecher | 0:430.02–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.20 | 1:020.02–0.20 | 1:310.03–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 1:050.05–0.03 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:220.20–0.00 | 0:590.05–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.03 | 1:200.01–0.00 | 0:510.19–0.00 | ||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.02 | |||
| Rielly–Stecher | 1:120.00–0.18 | 1:180.13–0.18 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Carlo | 1:090.00–0.17 | 0:590.00–0.17 | 0:330.11–0.00 | ||||||
| Rielly–McCabe | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.14–0.00 | |||||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 0:430.17–0.01 | 0:580.17–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 32 | 24:11 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 4 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 23:30 | 0:59 | 2:54 | 3 | 1 |
 Noah HanifinVGK | 29 | 22:27 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 3 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 25 | 22:23 | 0:54 | 2:38 | 3 | 1 |
 Shea TheodoreVGK | 28 | 22:09 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 2 | 5 |
 Rasmus AnderssonVGK | 29 | 21:33 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Jeremy LauzonVGK | 26 | 21:27 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 2 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 30 | 21:03 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 2 | 3 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 21 | 20:09 | 0:58 | 2:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 20 | 19:58 | 1:00 | 2:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Jack EichelVGK | 22 | 19:16 | 0:53 | 2:24 | 1 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 19:08 | 0:55 | 2:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Max DomiTOR | 22 | 18:48 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 2 | 0 |
 Mark StoneVGK | 22 | 18:19 | 0:50 | 2:12 | 2 | 3 |
 Ivan BarbashevVGK | 22 | 17:47 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Tomas HertlVGK | 23 | 17:25 | 0:45 | 1:57 | 3 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerVGK | 23 | 17:25 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 22 | 17:19 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 2 | 0 |
 Pavel DorofeyevVGK | 22 | 17:05 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 23 | 16:51 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 2 | 3 |
 Brandon CarloTOR | 26 | 15:51 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 1 | 3 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 21 | 15:26 | 0:44 | 1:03 | 0 | 4 |
 Kaedan KorczakVGK | 16 | 15:11 | 0:57 | 1:37 | 1 | 0 |
 Keegan KolesarVGK | 19 | 14:51 | 0:47 | 1:06 | 1 | 1 |
 Jonas RondbjergVGK | 20 | 14:40 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 1 | 1 |
 Ben HuttonVGK | 17 | 14:27 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 1 | 0 |
 Reilly SmithVGK | 20 | 14:24 | 0:43 | 1:00 | 1 | 1 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 17 | 13:50 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 16 | 12:39 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 2 | 0 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 14 | 10:51 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 0 |
 Braeden BowmanVGK | 15 | 10:18 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 3 | 2 |
 Alexander HoltzVGK | 15 | 9:45 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 14 | 9:33 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 0 | 4 |
 Tanner LaczynskiVGK | 15 | 9:31 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 15 | 9:28 | 0:38 | 0:55 | 0 | 4 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 13 | 8:42 | 0:40 | 0:55 | 0 | 3 |