Fri, Jan 23, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Vegas Golden Knights 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.
25%
9%
58%
TOR winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:27 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Shea TheodoreD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:09 | 0.00 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.11 | 45.0% | +0.3 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:27 | 0.01 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.29 | 59.8% | +14.9 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.59 | 47.8% | +27.7 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.17 | 49.5% | +27.4 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.29 | 31.7% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.03 | 33.2% | 0.0 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.25 | 31.2% | +15.2 |
 Kaedan KorczakD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.00 | 77.4% | 0.0 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:51 | 0.46 | 82.0% | +12.2 |
 Jonas RondbjergRW · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:40 | 0.22 | 78.5% | +12.2 |
 Ben HuttonD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.00 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
 Reilly SmithRW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.13 | 73.3% | +12.2 |
 Braeden BowmanRW · #42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:18 | 0.12 | 60.5% | +9.1 |
 Alexander HoltzRW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.13 | 60.5% | +9.1 |
 Tanner LaczynskiC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:31 | 0.31 | 55.0% | +9.1 |
 Adin Hill#33 | W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.17 | −0.8 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:11 | 0.03 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:30 | 0.35 | 53.7% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:23 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.04 | 53.6% | +16.4 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.44 | 70.0% | +23.2 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.00 | 52.7% | +14.7 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:08 | 0.34 | 58.5% | +14.7 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.01 | 51.4% | +16.4 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:19 | 0.41 | 50.0% | +16.4 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.04 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.05 | 18.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.15 | 26.3% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.18 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.11 | 56.4% | +8.5 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:42 | 0.04 | 48.3% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | L | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 2.77 | −2.2 | 58:20 |