Sat, Jan 24, 2026·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Washington Capitals 5, Edmonton Oilers 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 83% of the time.
79%
12%
EDM winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Strome–McMichael–Leonard | Wilson–Protas–Sourdif | Dowd–Duhaime–Frank | Ovechkin–Dowd–Beauvillier | Beauvillier–Duhaime–Lapierre | Ovechkin–Dowd–Frank | Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | Duhaime–Lapierre–Frank | McMichael–Sourdif–Leonard | Wilson–Strome–Protas | Dowd–Beauvillier–Protas | Roy–Chychrun | Roy–Fehérváry | Carlson–Fehérváry | Carlson–Chychrun | van Riemsdyk–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | Chychrun–Fehérváry | van Riemsdyk–Roy | Carlson–van Riemsdyk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:280.29–0.00 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.06 | 1:430.00–0.00 | 2:100.29–0.00 | 1:120.05–0.17 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Draisaitl–Mangiapane–Podkolzin | 1:090.03–0.04 | 2:190.04–0.47 | 0:540.05–0.05 | 0:390.06–0.00 | 0:320.08–0.01 | 2:000.06–0.23 | 0:580.08–0.00 | 1:240.16–0.00 | 1:190.05–0.21 | 0:460.04–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Roslovic–Howard–Savoie | 1:590.01–0.12 | 0:400.06–0.13 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 0:570.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.09 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:560.12–0.25 | 0:450.06–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Janmark–Lazar–Frederic | 2:150.04–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.03 | 1:380.04–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.08 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid | 0:420.10–0.06 | 1:080.05–0.00 | 2:110.10–0.14 | 0:430.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Nugent-Hopkins–Roslovic–Podkolzin | 0:320.00–0.08 | 0:500.20–0.08 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Ekholm–Bouchard | 1:330.04–0.00 | 2:120.39–0.06 | 2:130.02–0.00 | 1:130.24–0.06 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.06 | 3:520.20–0.14 | 2:510.38–0.00 | 1:380.24–0.17 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Nurse–Emberson | 0:500.03–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:420.05–0.05 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:330.05–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.10 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:200.03–0.00 | 1:370.10–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Nurse–Walman | 0:410.02–0.08 | 1:110.04–0.16 | 0:380.04–0.18 | 0:530.12–0.13 | 0:540.00–0.02 | 1:070.06–0.00 | 1:010.17–0.00 | 0:300.04–0.18 | 1:120.23–0.21 | 0:490.06–0.02 | 1:060.04–0.00 | |||||||||
| Walman–Stastney | 2:260.00–0.04 | 0:410.00–0.05 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.05 | 0:460.00–0.05 | 1:410.00–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Emberson–Stastney | 1:040.00–0.08 | 0:320.00–0.01 | 0:450.04–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.15 | ||||||||||||||
| Bouchard–Emberson |
Every shift, one row per player.
EDMWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Evan BouchardEDM | 24 | 29:25 | 1:14 | 3:11 | 4 | 5 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 24 | 28:43 | 1:12 | 3:12 | 8 | 0 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 23 | 26:16 | 1:09 | 3:09 | 9 | 1 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 29 | 25:53 | 0:54 | 2:11 | 2 | 5 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 26 | 25:34 | 0:59 | 1:43 | 6 | 0 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 19 | 24:06 | 1:16 | 3:02 | 7 | 1 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 23 | 23:38 | 1:02 | 2:37 | 0 | 7 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 20 | 22:43 | 1:08 | 2:40 | 6 | 2 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 24 | 21:27 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Mattias EkholmEDM | 20 | 19:59 | 1:00 | 2:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 26 | 19:31 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 4 | 7 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 24 | 19:02 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 4 | 4 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 23 | 18:35 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 3 | 0 |
 Jake WalmanEDM | 25 | 18:04 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 26 | 17:59 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 26 | 17:34 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 0 | 8 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 22 | 17:26 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 18 | 15:29 | 0:52 | 2:29 | 5 | 0 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 22 | 15:17 | 0:42 | 1:43 | 0 | 6 |
 Ty EmbersonEDM | 23 | 15:07 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 18 | 14:56 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 4 | 1 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 25 | 14:07 | 0:34 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 19 | 13:46 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 4 | 1 |
 Matt SavoieEDM | 21 | 12:39 | 0:36 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Spencer StastneyEDM | 21 | 12:37 | 0:36 | 1:19 | 1 | 1 |
 Jack RoslovicEDM | 17 | 11:58 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 1 | 1 |
 Mattias JanmarkEDM | 22 | 11:25 | 0:31 | 0:58 | 0 | 6 |
 Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 15 | 11:19 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 14 | 9:56 | 0:43 | 1:40 | 0 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneEDM | 12 | 9:39 | 0:48 | 1:04 | 4 | 0 |
 Isaac HowardEDM | 14 | 9:12 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Trent FredericEDM | 15 | 7:48 | 0:31 | 0:56 | 1 | 3 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 12 | 7:22 | 0:37 | 1:50 | 0 | 2 |
 Curtis LazarEDM | 17 | 7:02 | 0:25 | 0:48 | 1 | 5 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 11 | 6:34 | 0:36 | 1:01 | 0 | 1 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 7 | 5:08 | 0:44 | 1:03 | 0 | 1 |