Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 25, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Colorado Avalanche

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 66% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Shot by Malinski, saved by Woll
  3. P1 0:57Shot by Rielly, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 1:10Shot by Rielly, saved by Blackwood
  5. P1 2:40Shot by Makar, saved by Woll
  6. P1 3:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Blackwood
  7. P1 5:51Shot by Malinski, saved by Woll
  8. P1 5:59Shot by Malinski, saved by Woll
  9. P1 6:19Goal by Nelson (Makar)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Knies · COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski

  10. P1 6:43Shot by Kelly, saved by Woll
  11. P1 7:05Shot by Manson, saved by Woll
  12. P1 7:21Shot by Nelson, saved by Woll
  13. P1 7:31Goal by Nelson (Lehkonen, Nichushkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Laughton, Stecher, Benoit, McMann · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Girard, Makar

  14. P1 8:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Blackwood
  15. P1 10:16Shot by Laughton, saved by Blackwood
  16. P1 10:34Lehkonen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Laughton, Carlo, McMann · COL Nelson, Manson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Girard

  17. P1 11:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Blackwood5v4
  18. P1 12:37Shot by Makar, saved by Woll
  19. P1 13:17Shot by Manson, saved by Woll
  20. P1 15:21Shot by Brindley, saved by Woll
  21. P1 16:36Benoit: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Roy, Benoit, Robertson, Maccelli · COL Manson, Girard, Kelly, Kiviranta, Bardakov

  22. P1 18:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Woll4v5
  23. P1 18:02Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Woll4v5
  24. P1 18:15Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Woll4v5
  25. P1 18:58Shot by Malinski, saved by Woll
  26. P1 19:23Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Woll
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Blackwood
  30. P2 1:02Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Woll
  31. P2 1:46Shot by McMann, saved by Blackwood
  32. P2 1:47Shot by McMann, saved by Blackwood
  33. P2 3:42Shot by Olofsson, saved by Woll
  34. P2 4:03Shot by Makar, saved by Woll
  35. P2 5:30Shot by Maccelli, saved by Blackwood
  36. P2 5:39Shot by Stecher, saved by Blackwood
  37. P2 5:40Shot by Roy, saved by Blackwood
  38. P2 5:41Shot by Maccelli, saved by Blackwood
  39. P2 6:17Shot by Matthews, saved by Blackwood
  40. P2 6:24Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  41. P2 6:42Shot by Makar, saved by Woll
  42. P2 10:01Shot by Ahcan, saved by Woll
  43. P2 10:43Shot by Malinski, saved by Woll
  44. P2 11:14Shot by Carlo, saved by Blackwood
  45. P2 11:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Blackwood
  46. P2 12:15Shot by Laughton, saved by Blackwood
  47. P2 12:46Shot by Manson, saved by Woll
  48. P2 12:58Shot by Laughton, saved by Blackwood
  49. P2 14:22Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Woll
  50. P2 15:02Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Woll
  51. P2 15:43Carlo: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Laughton, McCabe, Carlo, Roy, Lorentz · COL Burns, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Makar

  52. P2 16:03Shot by Makar, saved by Woll4v5
  53. P2 16:06Shot by Olofsson, saved by Woll4v5
  54. P2 17:09Shot by Benoit, saved by Blackwood4v5
  55. P2 17:44Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Woll
  56. P2 18:53Goal by Drury (Kelly, Kiviranta)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Stecher, Maccelli, McMann · COL Manson, Girard, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta

  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:47Shot by McMann, saved by Blackwood
  60. P3 0:56Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Woll
  61. P3 1:40Shot by Ahcan, saved by Woll
  62. P3 2:19Shot by Cowan, saved by Blackwood
  63. P3 2:23Shot by Matthews, saved by Blackwood
  64. P3 3:29Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  65. P3 5:48Shot by Stecher, saved by Blackwood
  66. P3 8:03Manson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Stecher, Maccelli, Knies · COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Kiviranta, Bardakov

  67. P3 8:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Blackwood5v4
  68. P3 12:17Shot by Maccelli, saved by Blackwood
  69. P3 12:18Shot by Maccelli, saved by Blackwood
  70. P3 12:22Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Blackwood
  71. P3 13:00Shot by Robertson, saved by Blackwood
  72. P3 13:16Shot by Makar, saved by Woll
  73. P3 14:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Blackwood6v5
  74. P3 14:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Blackwood6v5
  75. P3 16:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Blackwood6v5
  76. P3 17:41Goal by Nelson (MacKinnon)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, Roy, Robertson, McMann, Cowan · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, MacKinnon, Olofsson

  77. P3 18:25Bardakov: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Laughton, Carlo, Lorentz, Quillan · COL Manson, Kelly, Bardakov, Makar, Malinski

  78. P3 18:54Shot by Cowan, saved by Blackwood5v4
  79. P3 18:58Goal by Domi (McMann, Cowan)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Robertson, McMann, Cowan · COL Manson, Kelly, Drury, Malinski

  80. P3 19:09Shot by Makar, saved by Woll
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final