Sun, Jan 25, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Colorado Avalanche 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 66% of the time.
27%
59%
TOR winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 23:28 | 0.20 | 77.0% | +15.1 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.29 | 63.9% | +0.1 |
 Sam MalinskiD · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 21:09 | 0.21 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:57 | 0.34 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
 Brent BurnsD · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:50 | 0.00 | 48.4% | 0.0 |
 Brock NelsonC · #11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 20:37 | 1.63 | 56.2% | +27.9 |
 Josh MansonD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.10 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Samuel GirardD · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:38 | 0.02 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.33 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Valeri NichushkinRW · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:04 | 0.64 | 66.6% | +12.8 |
 Artturi LehkonenLW · #62 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.16 | 65.3% | +12.8 |
 Jack DruryC · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.09 | 31.5% | +7.4 |
 Parker KellyC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.25 | 46.4% | +7.4 |
 Jack AhcanD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:46 | 0.03 | 14.2% | 0.0 |
 Gavin BrindleyC · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.08 | 31.4% | 0.0 |
 Taylor MakarLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.08 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
 Joel KivirantaLW · #94 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:53 | 0.06 | 46.4% | +7.4 |
 Zakhar BardakovC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:50 | 0.00 | 75.4% | 0.0 |
 Mackenzie Blackwood#39 | W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.43 | +2.4 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:03 | 0.11 | 65.7% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.07 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 19:42 | 0.70 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.16 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:45 | 0.12 | 69.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.19 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 17:58 | 0.28 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:48 | 0.51 | 84.1% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.24 | 57.6% | 0.0 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.42 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.01 | 36.4% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.27 | 73.0% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.10 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.25 | 22.2% | 0.0 |
 Jacob QuillanC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:15 | 0.00 | 4.6% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 3.05 | +0.1 | 56:33 |