Sun, Jan 25, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Colorado Avalanche 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 66% of the time.
27%
59%
TOR winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| MacKinnon–Olofsson–Necas | Nelson–Lehkonen–Nichushkin | Drury–Makar–Brindley | Kelly–Kiviranta–Bardakov | Kelly–Drury–Kiviranta | Makar–Malinski | Burns–Manson | Manson–Girard | Girard–Ahcan | Burns–Malinski | Girard–Malinski | Burns–Makar | Girard–Makar | Ahcan–Malinski | Manson–Ahcan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domi–Matthews–Knies | 5:330.32–0.21 | 3:030.12–0.26 | 1:110.10–0.04 | 1:180.00–0.03 | 0:420.05–0.00 | 1:030.12–0.00 | |||||||||
| Roy–Robertson–Maccelli | 1:510.06–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:460.47–0.00 | 1:420.10–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Tavares–Laughton–McMann | 1:100.15–0.00 | 2:460.10–0.15 | 0:510.04–0.00 | 1:070.03–0.03 | 0:440.06–0.00 | 1:000.15–0.00 | |||||||||
| Domi–Matthews–McMann | 1:310.00–0.14 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 1:090.07–0.14 | |||||||||||
| Lorentz–Cowan–Quillan | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.15 | 1:040.00–0.24 | 1:410.00–0.15 | |||||||||||
| Laughton–Lorentz–Quillan | 1:100.03–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.08 | 1:230.03–0.02 | 1:190.00–0.08 | |||||||||||
| Roy–Robertson–Cowan | 1:440.04–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 1:240.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Tavares–Maccelli–McMann | 0:590.00–0.04 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.03 | ||||||||||
| Tavares–Maccelli–Knies | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:140.29–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:570.29–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Laughton–Roy–Lorentz | 1:520.07–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:340.07–0.00 | |||||||||||
| McCabe–Carlo | 7:260.23–0.51 | 0:500.06–0.00 | 3:090.15–0.14 | 2:010.00–0.25 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.13 | 0:360.07–0.00 | |||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 1:120.00–0.06 | 3:450.08–0.10 | 1:480.34–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.06 | 1:480.00–0.06 | 2:530.29–0.09 | 1:300.04–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.03 | ||||||
| Rielly–Stecher | 0:300.13–0.00 | 2:360.00–0.03 | 2:090.07–0.02 | 1:510.07–0.02 | 0:460.47–0.00 | 1:390.01–0.02 | 2:110.07–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 0:320.13–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | ||||
| Stecher–Benoit | 1:450.04–0.12 | 1:550.00–0.08 | 0:330.04–0.00 | 2:250.10–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Carlo | 0:370.06–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.15 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:160.03–0.19 | 0:320.06–0.00 | ||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | 1:580.10–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.08 | 1:370.00–0.35 | 0:510.10–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | 0:300.00–0.11 | ||||||||||||||
| Rielly–McCabe | 0:500.20–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 25 | 23:28 | 0:56 | 2:27 | 3 | 4 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 23 | 23:18 | 1:01 | 3:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 29 | 22:03 | 0:46 | 2:29 | 3 | 3 |
 Sam MalinskiCOL | 24 | 21:09 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 2 | 3 |
 Martin NecasCOL | 22 | 20:57 | 0:57 | 2:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Brent BurnsCOL | 24 | 20:50 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 2 | 5 |
 Brock NelsonCOL | 24 | 20:37 | 0:52 | 2:15 | 5 | 6 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 25 | 20:19 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 3 | 7 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 27 | 20:00 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 5 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 19:42 | 0:51 | 2:38 | 6 | 1 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 22 | 19:38 | 0:54 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 19 | 19:04 | 1:00 | 1:50 | 4 | 2 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 26 | 18:45 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 0 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 25 | 18:43 | 0:45 | 2:33 | 2 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonCOL | 20 | 18:12 | 0:55 | 2:42 | 2 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 22 | 18:07 | 0:49 | 1:51 | 6 | 2 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 21 | 17:58 | 0:51 | 1:16 | 6 | 3 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 18 | 17:48 | 0:59 | 2:11 | 6 | 0 |
 Brandon CarloTOR | 27 | 17:29 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 4 | 5 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 21 | 17:04 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 21 | 16:52 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 6 | 1 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 23 | 16:39 | 0:43 | 1:40 | 4 | 7 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 20 | 16:15 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 1 | 4 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 21 | 16:07 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 1 | 4 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 21 | 15:40 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Jack DruryCOL | 18 | 15:22 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 1 | 3 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 18 | 13:16 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 1 | 6 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 19 | 13:10 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 4 | 1 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 18 | 11:41 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 20 | 11:29 | 0:34 | 1:15 | 4 | 5 |
 Jack AhcanCOL | 14 | 10:46 | 0:46 | 1:05 | 0 | 1 |
 Gavin BrindleyCOL | 13 | 10:32 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 2 | 0 |
 Taylor MakarCOL | 12 | 9:56 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 0 | 0 |
 Joel KivirantaCOL | 18 | 8:53 | 0:30 | 0:50 | 3 | 5 |
 Zakhar BardakovCOL | 14 | 6:50 | 0:29 | 0:55 | 3 | 3 |
 Jacob QuillanTOR | 11 | 6:15 | 0:34 | 0:59 | 1 | 3 |