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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 28, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Colorado Avalanche 2, Ottawa Senators 5

Away

Colorado Avalanche

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 87% of the time.

OTT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Blackwood
  3. P1 1:11Shot by Sanderson, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 1:20Malinski: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Batherson, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · COL MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Makar, Malinski

  5. P1 1:54Shot by Batherson, saved by Blackwood5v4
  6. P1 2:36Shot by Chabot, saved by Blackwood5v4
  7. P1 5:30Shot by Stützle, saved by Blackwood
  8. P1 7:05Shot by Malinski, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 7:15Shot by Malinski, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 13:02Shot by Giroux, saved by Blackwood
  11. P1 15:43Shot by Makar, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 16:10Shot by Zub, saved by Blackwood
  13. P1 16:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 17:13Makar: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Stützle · COL Burns, Girard, Drury, Makar, Brindley

  15. P1 18:21Shot by Giroux, saved by Blackwood5v4
  16. P1 18:28Shot by Cozens, saved by Blackwood5v4
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:09Shot by Makar, saved by Reimer
  20. P2 1:40Shot by Cousins, saved by Blackwood
  21. P2 3:21Goal by Cousins (Zub, Stützle)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Cousins, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · COL Burns, Manson, MacKinnon, Necas, Drury

  22. P2 7:24Shot by Chabot, saved by Blackwood
  23. P2 10:06Lehkonen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Stützle · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Girard, Makar

  24. P2 10:51Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Blackwood5v4
  25. P2 11:00Shot by Stützle, saved by Blackwood5v4
  26. P2 13:11Shot by Burns, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 13:13Shot by Olofsson, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 14:05Goal by Kelly (Nelson, Middleton)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Eller, Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Bourgault · COL Middleton, Girard, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta

  29. P2 14:22Goal by Greig (Kleven, Spence)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Eller, Zetterlund, Spence, Greig, Kleven · COL Middleton, Girard, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta

  30. P2 0:00Period end
  31. P3 0:00Period start
  32. P3 2:06Goal by Giroux (Batherson, Jensen)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Batherson, Spence, Stützle · COL Manson, Girard, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta

  33. P3 2:13Shot by Makar, saved by Reimer
  34. P3 3:30Goal by Nichushkin (Drury)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Batherson, Spence, Kleven, Stützle · COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Drury

  35. P3 6:30Shot by Makar, saved by Reimer
  36. P3 6:31Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Reimer
  37. P3 7:21Shot by Kleven, saved by Blackwood
  38. P3 9:23Shot by Bardakov, saved by Reimer
  39. P3 10:25Shot by Brindley, saved by Reimer
  40. P3 11:17Shot by Giroux, saved by Blackwood
  41. P3 11:40Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Blackwood
  42. P3 12:27Shot by Cousins, saved by Blackwood
  43. P3 16:10Shot by Manson, saved by Reimer
  44. P3 17:18Shot by Olofsson, saved by Reimer5v6
  45. P3 17:44Goal by Tkachuk (Sanderson)5v6+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Necas, Makar

  46. P3 18:06Shot by Drury, saved by Reimer5v6
  47. P3 18:07Shot by Kelly, saved by Reimer5v6
  48. P3 18:53Goal by Stützle (Chabot, Zub)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Chabot, Greig, Stützle, Zub · COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Necas, Makar

  49. P3 19:22Shot by Eller, saved by Blackwood
  50. P3 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Final