Wed, Jan 28, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Colorado Avalanche 2, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 87% of the time.
81%
8%
OTT winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 27:22 | 0.29 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:36 | 0.16 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 22:37 | 0.06 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Brock NelsonC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 22:23 | 0.00 | 17.5% | +26.9 |
 Brent BurnsD · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.03 | 71.1% | 0.0 |
 Josh MansonD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.08 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Sam MalinskiD · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.13 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Samuel GirardD · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.00 | 59.9% | 0.0 |
 Artturi LehkonenLW · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
 Jack DruryC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.02 | 34.7% | +13.1 |
 Valeri NichushkinRW · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.38 | 56.7% | +13.1 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.34 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Parker KellyC · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.46 | 66.1% | +26.9 |
 Joel KivirantaLW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Keaton MiddletonD · #67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:23 | 0.00 | 17.7% | +26.9 |
 Gavin BrindleyC · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:43 | 0.03 | 10.1% | 0.0 |
 Taylor MakarLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:30 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Zakhar BardakovC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:42 | 0.06 | 78.4% | 0.0 |
 Mackenzie Blackwood#39 | L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.42 | −0.6 | 57:41 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:43 | 0.01 | 43.4% | +6.5 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 | 0.02 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.02 | 60.2% | +21.9 |
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.17 | 48.3% | +0.3 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.68 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.16 | 68.6% | +27.1 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 18:28 | 0.97 | 46.5% | +21.9 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 17:34 | 0.60 | 46.5% | +13.3 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.00 | 44.1% | +13.3 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.28 | 55.7% | +21.5 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.12 | 42.5% | +13.3 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.87 | 56.9% | +6.5 |
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.02 | 56.1% | +27.1 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.09 | 68.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.02 | 53.5% | +27.1 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.10 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Lars EllerC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:14 | 0.21 | 54.2% | 0.0 |
 Xavier BourgaultRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:12 | 0.05 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#47 | W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 2.03 | 0.0 | 60:00 |