Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal
Colorado Avalanche 3, Montréal Canadiens 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 61% of the time.
31%
9%
52%
MTL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 24:02 | 0.22 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:30 | 0.01 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:09 | 0.30 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:00 | 0.22 | 69.3% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.55 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.22 | 66.3% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.69 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.38 | 62.2% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.06 | 61.3% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.06 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.05 | 56.0% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 51.9% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.21 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.39 | 64.1% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.09 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.05 | 65.0% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:17 | 0.01 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 21 | 7 | .750 | 2.88 | −4.1 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:56 | 0.02 | 28.2% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.08 | 35.4% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.00 | 55.2% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 19:34 | 0.17 | 42.0% | +11.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.18 | 43.9% | +4.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 17:42 | 0.70 | 29.5% | +27.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:57 | 0.56 | 51.2% | +12.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.04 | 65.0% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.27 | 57.3% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.31 | 43.5% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.01 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.21 | 58.8% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.08 | 46.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.02 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.05 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.19 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.52 | +0.5 | 59:45 |