Thu, Jan 29, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Dallas Stars 5, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 70% of the time.
23%
62%
VGK winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 26:50 | 0.04 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:12 | 0.16 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 23:51 | 0.33 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.15 | 54.8% | +7.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:39 | 0.33 | 54.1% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.05 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.49 | 57.9% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.49 | 50.4% | +14.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:09 | 0.45 | 76.1% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.17 | 51.9% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.21 | 66.8% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.37 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.29 | 53.7% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.02 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.09 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.44 | −1.6 | 65:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:19 | 0.02 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:51 | 0.05 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:48 | 0.08 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:44 | 0.21 | 51.9% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:23 | 0.15 | 47.4% | +56.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:09 | 0.27 | 49.9% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:58 | 0.37 | 44.7% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.23 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.10 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.03 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 42.8% | +39.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.32 | 51.6% | +22.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.19 | 31.5% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.00 | 4.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:04 | 0.40 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:43 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 8.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 3.22 | −0.8 | 64:05 |