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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Dallas Stars 5, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 70% of the time.

VGK winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Rantanen–Johnston–HryckowianHintz–Robertson–BourqueBenn–Duchene–SteelFaksa–Erne–BäckLindell–HeiskanenLundkvist–HarleyPetrovic–CapobiancoLindell–HarleyLindell–LundkvistHeiskanen–HarleyHeiskanen–LundkvistPetrovic–Heiskanen
Marner–Dorofeyev–Bowman1:100.09–0.002:300.04–0.021:310.00–0.072:210.33–0.172:480.00–0.191:090.01–0.000:300.00–0.07
Stone–Barbashev–Eichel4:190.13–0.401:320.16–0.000:430.02–0.001:370.08–0.263:520.13–0.220:390.02–0.000:540.08–0.00
Laczynski–Reinhardt–Holtz0:500.00–0.000:570.02–0.231:070.00–0.002:540.01–0.021:150.00–0.002:200.00–0.272:340.03–0.020:340.00–0.00
Smith–Stone–Eichel2:560.03–0.050:540.00–0.001:160.00–0.003:140.03–0.05
Smith–Hertl–Kolesar0:360.00–0.000:570.00–0.000:590.06–0.021:150.05–0.001:190.06–0.001:000.05–0.001:570.00–0.020:410.00–0.25
Hertl–Barbashev–Kolesar2:010.08–0.092:150.16–0.231:540.19–0.032:190.06–0.230:300.00–0.05
Marner–Dorofeyev–Holtz1:040.00–0.111:330.00–0.001:520.00–0.001:160.00–0.11
Kolesar–Marner–Dorofeyev
Hanifin–Andersson2:290.21–0.114:250.25–0.043:530.14–0.041:550.05–0.007:160.51–0.185:090.13–0.162:530.02–0.040:430.00–0.25
Theodore–Lauzon7:340.16–0.602:510.09–0.282:330.02–0.140:440.00–0.003:300.09–0.287:100.08–0.692:020.02–0.120:540.08–0.000:570.00–0.050:310.00–0.00
Hutton–Korczak0:550.00–0.002:180.00–0.152:190.11–0.095:010.12–0.033:590.31–0.152:190.00–0.004:360.13–0.101:020.00–0.020:310.00–0.00
Hutton–Theodore0:570.00–0.070:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.07
Hanifin–Korczak0:340.17–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndEichel FSmith FStone FBowman FDorofeyev FMarner FKolesar FHertl FBarbashev FReinhardt FHoltz FLaczynski FLauzon DTheodore DAndersson DHanifin DKorczak DHutton DHill GRobertson FBourque FHintz FJohnston FHryckowian FRantanen FSteel FDuchene FBenn FFaksa FBäck FErne FLundkvist DHarley DHeiskanen DLindell DPetrovic DCapobianco DOettinger G
VGKDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL3126:500:521:5852
Shea TheodoreVGK3526:190:451:3615
Thomas HarleyDAL3126:120:511:5732
Noah HanifinVGK3023:510:481:2632
Esa LindellDAL3023:510:481:5811
Jack EichelVGK2622:480:531:4843
Rasmus AnderssonVGK3222:440:431:3132
Mikko RantanenDAL2422:110:553:3441
Mitch MarnerVGK2421:230:531:2822
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2420:390:523:0742
Mark StoneVGK2420:090:501:3132
Nils LundkvistDAL2619:330:452:1312
Ivan BarbashevVGK2418:580:471:4042
Jason RobertsonDAL2418:480:472:4723
Jeremy LauzonVGK2718:140:411:2415
Matt DucheneDAL2017:260:521:4031
Pavel DorofeyevVGK2017:170:521:3821
Mavrik BourqueDAL2317:090:451:1113
Sam SteelDAL2116:150:461:1440
Ben HuttonVGK2115:500:451:3422
Roope HintzDAL2515:200:371:2933
Tomas HertlVGK2115:170:441:2645
Justin HryckowianDAL2215:030:411:0931
Kaedan KorczakVGK2215:020:411:1521
Keegan KolesarVGK2114:380:421:2314
Reilly SmithVGK2214:240:391:1002
Alexander PetrovicDAL1813:250:451:1611
Alexander HoltzVGK1313:111:011:5110
Braeden BowmanVGK1613:040:491:1911
Jamie BennDAL1813:000:431:0131
Kyle CapobiancoDAL1712:200:441:1921
Radek FaksaDAL1812:140:411:1714
Oskar BäckDAL1712:010:421:1704
Adam ErneDAL1710:430:381:1713
Tanner LaczynskiVGK119:430:531:3410
Cole ReinhardtVGK109:030:541:3110