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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Seattle Kraken 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Seattle Kraken

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

SEA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:21Goal by Beniers (McCann, Eberle)+12 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Oleksiak, McCann, Montour, Beniers · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Carlo, Maccelli, Knies

  3. P1 2:34Shot by McCabe, saved by Daccord
  4. P1 3:35Shot by Maccelli, saved by Daccord
  5. P1 6:10Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Stolarz
  6. P1 6:13Shot by Montour, saved by Stolarz
  7. P1 6:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  8. P1 6:35Larsson: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Stephenson, Dunn, Tolvanen, Catton · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMann

  9. P1 6:41Shot by Knies, saved by Daccord4v5
  10. P1 7:27Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Stolarz4v5
  11. P1 9:06Shot by Dunn, saved by Stolarz
  12. P1 11:25Shot by McMann, saved by Daccord
  13. P1 11:28Shot by McMann, saved by Daccord
  14. P1 11:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  15. P1 12:25Shot by McCabe, saved by Daccord
  16. P1 15:02Goal by Robertson, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, McCann, Lindgren, Beniers, Evans · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Roy, Robertson

  17. P1 15:49Shot by Schwartz, saved by Stolarz
  18. P1 15:50Shot by Schwartz, saved by Stolarz
  19. P1 17:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  20. P1 17:47Shot by Carlo, saved by Daccord
  21. P1 18:23Shot by Winterton, saved by Stolarz
  22. P1 18:57Stecher: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Gaudreau, Montour, Winterton, Melanson · TOR Laughton, Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit, Cowan

  23. P1 19:05Shot by Stephenson, saved by Stolarz5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:01Shot by Stecher, saved by Daccord
  27. P2 1:03Shot by Stecher, saved by Daccord
  28. P2 1:55Shot by Melanson, saved by Stolarz
  29. P2 1:56Shot by Winterton, saved by Stolarz
  30. P2 2:55Shot by Evans, saved by Stolarz
  31. P2 5:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  32. P2 6:21Shot by Schwartz, saved by Stolarz
  33. P2 6:23Goal by Wright (Schwartz, Larsson)+23 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Larsson, Dunn, Kakko, Wright · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Carlo, Roy, Robertson

  34. P2 6:54Goal by Montour (Gaudreau, Stephenson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Stephenson, Gaudreau, Montour, Tolvanen · TOR Tavares, Stecher, Benoit, Maccelli, Knies

  35. P2 7:33Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Daccord
  36. P2 10:59Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Stolarz
  37. P2 12:13Shot by McCabe, saved by Daccord
  38. P2 14:54Shot by McCabe, saved by Daccord
  39. P2 17:11Dunn: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Larsson, Gaudreau, Dunn, Wright · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Carlo, Roy, Robertson

  40. P2 17:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Daccord4v5
  41. P2 18:02Shot by Knies, saved by Daccord4v5
  42. P2 18:16Shot by Domi, saved by Daccord4v5
  43. P2 18:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Daccord4v5
  44. P2 19:00Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Daccord4v5
  45. P2 19:29Shot by McCabe, saved by Daccord
  46. P2 19:59Shot by McMann, saved by Daccord
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:05Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Stolarz
  50. P3 2:08Shot by Larsson, saved by Stolarz
  51. P3 2:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  52. P3 4:57Wright: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Lindgren, Kakko, Evans, Wright · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Carlo, Roy, Robertson

  53. P3 5:49Shot by Knies, saved by Daccord4v5
  54. P3 5:50Shot by Tavares, saved by Daccord4v5
  55. P3 6:04Goal by Rielly (Domi)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Stephenson, Lindgren, Tolvanen · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Domi, Matthews, Knies

  56. P3 7:00Shot by Benoit, saved by Daccord
  57. P3 8:32Goal by Wright (Montour)+12 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Montour, Kakko, Evans, Wright · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Maccelli, Knies

  58. P3 9:37Carlo: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Stephenson, Gaudreau, Montour, Tolvanen · TOR Rielly, Domi, Carlo, Matthews, McMann

  59. P3 10:45Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Stolarz5v4
  60. P3 12:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  61. P3 16:11Shot by Robertson, saved by Daccord5v6
  62. P3 17:23Goal by McCann (Oleksiak)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Oleksiak, McCann, Montour, Beniers · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Roy, Matthews, McMann, Knies, Cowan

  63. P3 17:54Shot by Kakko, saved by Stolarz
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final