Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Seattle Kraken 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
17%
68%
SEA winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Domi–Matthews–McMann | Jarnkrok–Roy–Robertson | Tavares–Maccelli–Knies | Laughton–Lorentz–Cowan | Jarnkrok–Laughton–Lorentz | Roy–Robertson–Cowan | Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | Stecher–Benoit | Rielly–Carlo | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | McCabe–Carlo | McCabe–Stecher | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eberle–McCann–Beniers | 1:140.00–0.15 | 1:420.05–0.13 | 3:110.15–0.24 | 0:320.03–0.00 | 5:110.02–0.41 | 0:310.00–0.05 | 1:260.13–0.00 | 2:010.09–0.05 | ||||
| Schwartz–Kakko–Wright | 0:350.00–0.05 | 4:120.00–0.21 | 2:230.31–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:390.09–0.00 | 3:010.18–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.10 | 1:230.03–0.12 | 0:310.00–0.04 | |||
| Gaudreau–Winterton–Melanson | 1:470.00–0.07 | 1:390.01–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.01 | 2:040.16–0.08 | 1:470.00–0.09 | 1:270.16–0.00 | 2:120.01–0.00 | 1:140.20–0.07 | ||||
| Stephenson–Gaudreau–Tolvanen | 6:060.00–0.03 | 0:310.07–0.00 | 2:110.00–0.03 | 1:220.07–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Stephenson–Tolvanen–Catton | 2:240.08–0.51 | 2:020.17–0.51 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Kakko–Winterton–Wright | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 1:350.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Oleksiak–Montour | 4:180.00–0.15 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 4:390.31–0.16 | 2:430.16–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 5:370.12–0.19 | 4:590.24–0.05 | 2:580.13–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.18 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |
| Lindgren–Evans | 1:590.00–0.09 | 6:200.01–0.27 | 2:300.03–0.12 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 3:420.00–0.29 | 4:200.00–0.00 | 2:190.01–0.10 | 1:400.24–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.09 | ||
| Larsson–Dunn | 6:570.08–0.56 | 1:520.05–0.12 | 2:280.01–0.08 | 4:010.08–0.58 | 1:100.18–0.00 | 4:260.01–0.13 | 1:500.00–0.05 | 0:560.05–0.00 | ||||
| Montour–Dunn | 0:320.03–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:350.03–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
SEATORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake McCabeTOR | 29 | 22:55 | 0:47 | 2:02 | 4 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 25 | 22:53 | 0:55 | 2:08 | 4 | 2 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 27 | 22:36 | 0:50 | 2:09 | 3 | 4 |
 Brandon MontourSEA | 25 | 21:39 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 2 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 21:00 | 0:57 | 1:47 | 5 | 3 |
 Frederick GaudreauSEA | 29 | 20:11 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 0 | 9 |
 Ryan LindgrenSEA | 22 | 20:05 | 0:55 | 2:15 | 1 | 4 |
 Jamie OleksiakSEA | 23 | 20:01 | 0:52 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Max DomiTOR | 22 | 19:51 | 0:54 | 1:28 | 6 | 3 |
 Chandler StephensonSEA | 24 | 19:40 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 2 | 8 |
 Vince DunnSEA | 23 | 19:14 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 5 | 3 |
 Eeli TolvanenSEA | 23 | 18:41 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 1 | 7 |
 Adam LarssonSEA | 20 | 18:33 | 0:56 | 2:29 | 3 | 3 |
 Brandon CarloTOR | 28 | 17:58 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 20 | 16:56 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 4 | 2 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 24 | 16:52 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryker EvansSEA | 18 | 16:44 | 0:56 | 1:32 | 0 | 1 |
 Matty BeniersSEA | 25 | 16:37 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 5 | 2 |
 Jared McCannSEA | 25 | 16:12 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 6 | 1 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 23 | 16:12 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 18 | 16:04 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 4 | 2 |
 Shane WrightSEA | 21 | 15:41 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 1 | 0 |
 John TavaresTOR | 19 | 15:32 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 4 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 21 | 15:20 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 0 | 1 |
 Jordan EberleSEA | 22 | 14:48 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 5 | 1 |
 Kaapo KakkoSEA | 20 | 14:34 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 21 | 14:01 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 0 | 0 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 20 | 13:36 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 0 | 1 |
 Ryan WintertonSEA | 17 | 13:32 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |
 Jacob MelansonSEA | 15 | 13:01 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 0 | 2 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 16 | 12:53 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Jaden SchwartzSEA | 19 | 12:28 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 2 | 0 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 15 | 11:53 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 0 | 3 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 15 | 11:10 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 13 | 9:44 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 Berkly CattonSEA | 4 | 3:12 | 0:48 | 1:07 | 0 | 1 |