Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Seattle Kraken 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
17%
68%
SEA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:55 | 0.06 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:53 | 0.03 | 62.3% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.06 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:00 | 0.52 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.06 | 85.8% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.05 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.39 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.09 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.39 | 82.3% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.63 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 15:32 | 0.44 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.09 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.05 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.09 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.07 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.29 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:44 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 1.36 | −2.6 | 58:34 |
Seattle Kraken
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.10 | 59.0% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.00 | 56.4% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.08 | 53.3% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.05 | 26.7% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.04 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:41 | 0.16 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.01 | 31.8% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.05 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.13 | 22.9% | +11.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.54 | 25.1% | +12.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.15 | 50.3% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 22.9% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.02 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.20 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.08 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 12:28 | 0.19 | 49.1% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:12 | 0.08 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.30 | +1.3 | 60:00 |