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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 2, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

New York Islanders 1, Washington Capitals 4

Away

New York Islanders

1

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.

WSH winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Mayfield, saved by Stevenson
  3. P1 1:58Shot by Pelech, saved by Stevenson
  4. P1 2:23Shot by Leonard, saved by Rittich
  5. P1 2:26Dowd: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Sandin, Frank, Leonard · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Soucy, Duclair

  6. P1 3:33Shot by Heineman, saved by Stevenson4v5
  7. P1 4:16Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Stevenson4v5
  8. P1 4:23Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Stevenson4v5
  9. P1 8:07Shot by Protas, saved by Rittich
  10. P1 8:15Shot by Sourdif, saved by Rittich
  11. P1 10:21Shot by Drouin, saved by Stevenson
  12. P1 10:51Schaefer: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Fehérváry, Frank, Leonard · NYI Pageau, Pulock, Holmstrom, Heineman, Schaefer

  13. P1 10:56Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Rittich5v4
  14. P1 12:57Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Rittich
  15. P1 15:18Shot by Cizikas, saved by Stevenson
  16. P1 15:45Shot by Duclair, saved by Stevenson
  17. P1 16:38Goal by Barzal, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, Protas, Sourdif · NYI Palat, Horvat, Pulock, DeAngelo, Barzal

  18. P1 16:51Shot by Heineman, saved by Stevenson
  19. P1 17:51Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Rittich
  20. P1 19:39Shot by Palat, saved by Stevenson
  21. P1 19:41Wilson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Chychrun, Protas, Sourdif · NYI Palat, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Barzal

  22. P1 19:58Shot by Horvat, saved by Stevenson4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:30Shot by Heineman, saved by Stevenson4v5
  26. P2 3:33Shot by Cizikas, saved by Stevenson
  27. P2 3:34Shot by Cizikas, saved by Stevenson
  28. P2 3:34Shot by Cizikas, saved by Stevenson
  29. P2 5:29Goal by Fehérváry (Wilson, Dowd)+17 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Fehérváry, Protas · NYI Palat, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Barzal

  30. P2 5:54Shot by Roy, saved by Rittich
  31. P2 6:00Goal by Beauvillier (Roy, Ovechkin)+23 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Chychrun · NYI Lee, Pageau, Duclair, Pulock, Schaefer

  32. P2 6:28Shot by Lapierre, saved by Rittich
  33. P2 6:56Shot by Heineman, saved by Stevenson
  34. P2 7:01Shot by Heineman, saved by Stevenson
  35. P2 8:41Shot by Lee, saved by Stevenson
  36. P2 12:52Shot by MacLean, saved by Stevenson
  37. P2 15:19Shot by Horvat, saved by Stevenson
  38. P2 16:37Shot by Roy, saved by Rittich
  39. P2 17:25Shot by Sourdif, saved by Rittich
  40. P2 17:35Shot by Sandin, saved by Rittich
  41. P2 18:15Shot by Duhaime, saved by Rittich
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:24Shot by Wilson, saved by Rittich
  45. P3 0:26Shot by Chychrun, saved by Rittich
  46. P3 1:45Shot by Soucy, saved by Stevenson
  47. P3 1:47Mayfield: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, Protas, Sourdif · NYI Mayfield, Soucy, Drouin, Holmstrom, Heineman

  48. P3 1:47Mayfield: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, Protas, Sourdif · NYI Mayfield, Soucy, Drouin, Holmstrom, Heineman

  49. P3 1:47Wilson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, Protas, Sourdif · NYI Mayfield, Soucy, Drouin, Holmstrom, Heineman

  50. P3 2:27Shot by Chychrun, saved by Rittich5v4
  51. P3 2:35Shot by Cizikas, saved by Stevenson5v4
  52. P3 3:08Shot by Leonard, saved by Rittich5v4
  53. P3 3:25Shot by Sourdif, saved by Rittich5v4
  54. P3 3:37Soucy: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Sourdif, Leonard · NYI Pageau, Soucy, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  55. P3 5:30Shot by Milano, saved by Rittich5v4
  56. P3 7:32Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Stevenson
  57. P3 8:46Goal by Dowd (Sandin, Frank)+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Sandin, Frank · NYI Palat, Pelech, Duclair, Horvat, DeAngelo

  58. P3 10:14Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Stevenson
  59. P3 10:38Shot by Protas, saved by Rittich
  60. P3 10:41Shot by Wilson, saved by Rittich
  61. P3 12:50Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Rittich
  62. P3 14:38Shot by Mayfield, saved by Stevenson
  63. P3 14:40Shot by Mayfield, saved by Stevenson
  64. P3 15:06Shot by Schaefer, saved by Stevenson5v6
  65. P3 15:28Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Stevenson5v6
  66. P3 17:35Goal by Carlson (Protas)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Strome, Beauvillier, Fehérváry, Protas · NYI Palat, Pageau, Horvat, Barzal, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  67. P3 17:52Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Stevenson
  68. P3 18:51Duclair: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Sandin, Frank, Leonard · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Duclair, Pulock

  69. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  70. P3 0:00Final5v4