Mon, Feb 2, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
New York Islanders 1, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.
30%
8%
54%
WSH winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:23 | 0.23 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:22 | 0.28 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.01 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:56 | 0.08 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.48 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.14 | 41.9% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.28 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:09 | 0.21 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.04 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.03 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:56 | 1.07 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:28 | 0.09 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.10 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.08 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.17 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.22 | 77.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.61 | −0.4 | 57:08 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:19 | 0.18 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:36 | 0.20 | 17.2% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.06 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.04 | 43.4% | +22.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.10 | 22.0% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.24 | 30.5% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.04 | 55.4% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.72 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.10 | 32.7% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.25 | 65.8% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.04 | 78.6% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.14 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.02 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.19 | 49.8% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:50 | 0.37 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 58.0% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:42 | 0.05 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:21 | 0.09 | 66.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 3.51 | +2.5 | 60:00 |