Mon, Feb 2, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
New York Islanders 1, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.
30%
8%
54%
WSH winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Drouin–Holmstrom–Heineman | Palat–Horvat–Barzal | Cizikas–MacLean–Gatcomb | Lee–Pageau–Duclair | Pelech–DeAngelo | Pulock–Schaefer | Mayfield–Soucy | Soucy–DeAngelo | Mayfield–DeAngelo | Soucy–Pulock | DeAngelo–Schaefer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson–Protas–Sourdif | 2:590.09–0.11 | 3:260.33–0.31 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 3:540.09–0.17 | 3:260.43–0.02 | ||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | 1:280.11–0.03 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 2:260.12–0.10 | 2:130.03–0.11 | 3:100.19–0.63 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||
| Dowd–Frank–Leonard | 0:360.00–0.21 | 1:080.05–0.01 | 1:560.11–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.07 | 2:320.16–0.22 | ||||||
| Milano–Duhaime–Lapierre | 1:330.00–0.03 | 1:380.05–0.12 | 1:160.00–0.04 | 1:030.10–0.03 | 1:070.05–0.08 | ||||||
| Strome–Beauvillier–Duhaime | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.31 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.31 | |||||||
| Dowd–Wilson–Protas | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Sourdif–Frank–Leonard | 1:070.00–0.06 | ||||||||||
| Duhaime–Lapierre–Frank | 0:460.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Lapierre–Frank–Leonard | |||||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 3:280.09–0.11 | 2:300.33–0.14 | 4:310.05–0.16 | 2:200.11–0.10 | 6:350.09–0.10 | 3:170.54–0.07 | 2:390.05–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 2:440.00–0.11 | 4:130.10–0.22 | 1:390.05–0.04 | 3:160.10–0.04 | 3:520.00–0.04 | 2:000.05–0.23 | 1:000.00–0.20 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 3:120.23–0.11 | 2:020.04–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 3:430.12–0.00 | 2:020.28–0.01 | 2:190.08–0.10 | 2:310.11–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 1:110.01–0.00 | ||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 0:300.00–0.15 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.17 | 1:350.00–0.61 | |||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 0:440.00–0.31 | 0:410.00–0.31 | |||||||||
| Chychrun–Sandin | 0:410.27–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 28 | 23:23 | 0:50 | 1:59 | 6 | 4 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 22 | 23:19 | 1:04 | 1:43 | 3 | 3 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 24 | 21:36 | 0:54 | 1:17 | 0 | 4 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 24 | 21:22 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 6 | 3 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 26 | 21:14 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 4 | 5 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 21 | 20:56 | 1:00 | 1:31 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 27 | 20:05 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 4 | 6 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 23 | 20:00 | 0:52 | 2:31 | 8 | 2 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 21 | 19:29 | 0:56 | 3:15 | 5 | 4 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 21 | 19:23 | 0:55 | 1:49 | 0 | 4 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 21 | 19:00 | 0:54 | 1:32 | 0 | 5 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 27 | 18:28 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 4 | 7 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 19 | 18:22 | 0:58 | 2:36 | 7 | 1 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 23 | 18:06 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 2 | 8 |
 Ondrej PalatNYI | 19 | 17:28 | 0:55 | 2:22 | 8 | 1 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 19 | 17:23 | 0:55 | 1:51 | 2 | 5 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 19 | 17:15 | 0:54 | 3:40 | 5 | 0 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 21 | 16:50 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 3 | 5 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 18 | 16:25 | 0:55 | 1:19 | 1 | 6 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 18 | 16:09 | 0:54 | 1:19 | 2 | 3 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 20 | 15:24 | 0:46 | 1:47 | 5 | 3 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 24 | 15:22 | 0:38 | 1:35 | 2 | 4 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 18 | 15:21 | 0:51 | 1:12 | 1 | 5 |
 Carson SoucyNYI | 23 | 14:33 | 0:38 | 1:28 | 3 | 1 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 20 | 14:24 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 1 | 5 |
 Jonathan DrouinNYI | 17 | 14:22 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 4 | 3 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 18 | 13:56 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 16 | 13:50 | 0:52 | 3:14 | 1 | 5 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 21 | 13:46 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 1 | 7 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 20 | 13:28 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 16 | 11:35 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 15 | 11:34 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 3 | 2 |
 Marc GatcombNYI | 15 | 11:02 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 15 | 10:50 | 0:43 | 1:33 | 1 | 0 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 13 | 8:42 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 13 | 7:21 | 0:34 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |