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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 3, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ellis
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Moser, saved by Ellis
  4. P1 1:08Shot by Hagel, saved by Ellis
  5. P1 1:10Ostlund: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser · BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Doan, Ostlund, Helenius

  6. P1 3:36Shot by Girgensons, saved by Ellis
  7. P1 4:15Shot by Krebs, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:49Shot by Power, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 7:30Shot by Douglas, saved by Ellis
  10. P1 9:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ellis
  11. P1 9:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ellis
  12. P1 10:24Goal by Kucherov (Guentzel)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Hagel, Carlile · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Power

  13. P1 10:35Goncalves: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bjorkstrand, Raddysh, Goncalves, Moser, James · BUF Samuelsson, Byram, Doan, Ostlund, Helenius

  14. P1 10:40Shot by Thompson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  15. P1 10:47Shot by McDonagh, saved by Ellis4v5
  16. P1 11:06Shot by Thompson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  17. P1 13:42Shot by Gourde, saved by Ellis
  18. P1 13:55Moser: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  19. P1 13:56Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  20. P1 15:38Shot by McLeod, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  21. P1 16:53Goal by Samuelsson, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser · BUF Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Kozak, Helenius

  22. P1 17:44Shot by Gourde, saved by Ellis
  23. P1 18:04Shot by Finley, saved by Ellis
  24. P1 18:35Shot by Quinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 18:39Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 19:06Shot by James, saved by Ellis
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:35Shot by Cernak, saved by Ellis
  30. P2 0:50Shot by Raddysh, saved by Ellis
  31. P2 0:51Shot by Girgensons, saved by Ellis
  32. P2 4:20Shot by Hedman, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 8:13Shot by Sabourin, saved by Ellis
  34. P2 8:50Shot by James, saved by Ellis
  35. P2 12:29Shot by McDonagh, saved by Ellis
  36. P2 13:40Shot by Carlile, saved by Ellis
  37. P2 14:05Shot by Helenius, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 14:18Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 15:39Shot by Thompson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 17:16Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 18:45Shot by Moser, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 18:49Shot by Hagel, saved by Ellis
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 2:18Shot by Bryson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P3 3:45Shot by Quinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P3 3:56Shot by Hagel, saved by Ellis
  48. P3 4:08Goal by Samuelsson (McLeod, Quinn)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  49. P3 7:30Shot by Hagel, saved by Ellis
  50. P3 7:33Byram: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Hagel, Carlile · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power

  51. P3 7:48Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Ellis5v4
  52. P3 7:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ellis5v4
  53. P3 8:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ellis5v4
  54. P3 8:51Shot by Raddysh, saved by Ellis5v4
  55. P3 8:53Goal by Bjorkstrand (Raddysh, Kucherov)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Raddysh, Hagel · BUF Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Power, Kozak

  56. P3 12:55Douglas: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Gourde, Girgensons, Finley, Carlile · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Doan

  57. P3 13:21Shot by Cernak, saved by Ellis4v5
  58. P3 13:53Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  59. P3 14:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  60. P3 14:11Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  61. P3 14:53Goal by Doan (Thompson, Dahlin)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Cernak, Hagel · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Doan

  62. P3 15:18Shot by McLeod, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 18:36Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ellis6v5
  64. P3 18:38Shot by Goncalves, saved by Ellis6v5
  65. P3 19:34Goal by Raddysh (Kucherov, Hagel)6v5+42 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Gourde, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Raddysh, Hagel · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. OT 0:00Period start
  68. OT 0:45Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  69. OT 1:17Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  70. OT 2:22Shot by Thompson, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  71. OT 3:59Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  72. OT 4:32Shot by Tuch, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  73. OT 4:45Goal by Guentzel (Kucherov, Moser)3v3+51 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Moser · BUF Tuch, Dahlin, Krebs

  74. OT 4:45Period end3v3
  75. OT 4:45Final4v4