Tue, Feb 3, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.
54%
8%
8%
29%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tuch–Thompson–Krebs | Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Doan–Ostlund–Helenius | Malenstyn–Rosen–Kozak | Tuch–McLeod–Krebs | Malenstyn–Kozak–Helenius | Byram–Power | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Bryson–Metsa | Dahlin–Power | Samuelsson–Byram | Power–Metsa | Samuelsson–Power | Dahlin–Byram | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Hagel | 1:010.00–0.18 | 6:340.56–0.11 | 1:200.07–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 3:540.42–0.00 | 5:330.13–0.16 | 1:310.08–0.08 | 0:350.00–0.10 | |||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 7:580.32–0.03 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.22 | 2:140.00–0.28 | 3:280.08–0.03 | 4:210.11–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–James | 1:100.09–0.00 | 3:080.09–0.03 | 2:380.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:340.00–0.00 | 2:310.09–0.03 | 1:460.09–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.01 | ||||
| Sabourin–Douglas–Finley | 0:300.37–0.00 | 3:060.20–0.01 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 2:010.37–0.06 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 0:360.17–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kucherov–Gourde–Hagel | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 3:430.14–0.21 | 4:490.32–0.11 | 3:300.19–0.03 | 2:130.00–0.03 | 3:580.37–0.00 | 9:180.23–0.22 | 1:370.12–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.11 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 0:440.14–0.10 | ||||
| Hedman–Carlile | 2:260.13–0.00 | 3:470.18–0.01 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.22 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 5:400.05–0.34 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:470.08–0.00 | 1:280.01–0.01 | 0:300.17–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.01 | ||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 5:320.24–0.04 | 2:210.29–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 2:070.22–0.00 | 2:370.01–0.00 | 4:060.20–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.09 | 0:380.00–0.01 | ||||||
| McDonagh–Carlile | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 0:390.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 34 | 27:47 | 0:49 | 2:08 | 7 | 7 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 25 | 26:07 | 1:03 | 2:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 23 | 25:48 | 1:07 | 2:06 | 2 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 24 | 25:40 | 1:04 | 2:46 | 3 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 29 | 24:01 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 3 | 4 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 25 | 23:51 | 0:57 | 1:54 | 2 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 29 | 23:37 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 1 | 5 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 29 | 22:38 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 4 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 22:24 | 0:58 | 2:44 | 3 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 25 | 22:09 | 0:53 | 2:19 | 4 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 27 | 21:51 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 23 | 20:01 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 25 | 19:40 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 0 | 4 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 27 | 19:31 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 5 | 5 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 23 | 18:04 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 0 | 4 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 23 | 17:50 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 7 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 23 | 17:47 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 17:39 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 20 | 17:10 | 0:52 | 1:58 | 7 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 22 | 17:07 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 1 | 2 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 21 | 16:31 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 16:29 | 0:52 | 2:48 | 4 | 3 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 20 | 15:08 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 18 | 15:04 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 6 | 2 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 21 | 14:36 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 18 | 13:52 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Konsta HeleniusBUF | 18 | 13:47 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 3 | 3 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 16 | 13:02 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 3 | 3 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 17 | 12:25 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 0 | 3 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 13 | 11:12 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 1 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 15 | 11:01 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 2 | 1 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 14 | 9:08 | 0:39 | 0:58 | 0 | 2 |
 Isak RosenBUF | 13 | 8:17 | 0:38 | 0:54 | 1 | 1 |
 Jack FinleyTBL | 12 | 7:43 | 0:39 | 0:57 | 1 | 2 |
 Scott SabourinTBL | 8 | 6:03 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 0 | 0 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 8 | 5:45 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 0 | 0 |