Tue, Feb 3, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.
54%
8%
8%
29%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 27:47 | 0.45 | 52.2% | +30.5 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:01 | 0.13 | 35.6% | +40.7 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:37 | 0.06 | 28.4% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.15 | 45.4% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:09 | 0.55 | 31.7% | +30.5 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.09 | 34.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:31 | 0.31 | 32.3% | +22.3 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.09 | 21.8% | +22.3 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.38 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.34 | 7.8% | +30.5 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.00 | 20.5% | 0.0 |
 Konsta HeleniusC · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.02 | 19.1% | 0.0 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 74.0% | 0.0 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 | 0.00 | 9.4% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 9.8% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:08 | 0.00 | 95.4% | 0.0 |
 Isak RosenRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.00 | 92.6% | 0.0 |
 Colten Ellis#92 | O | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.30 | −0.7 | 64:24 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 26:07 | 0.27 | 71.8% | +66.5 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 25:48 | 0.48 | 69.4% | +64.7 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:40 | 0.27 | 71.8% | +41.6 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:51 | 0.05 | 67.8% | +50.9 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 7 | 22:24 | 0.56 | 72.3% | +131.1 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.24 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.02 | 82.6% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.04 | 85.2% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.16 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.03 | 51.0% | 0.0 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.06 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.33 | 62.4% | +23.1 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.10 | 74.6% | 0.0 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:02 | 0.17 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
 Jack FinleyC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:43 | 0.17 | 87.6% | 0.0 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:03 | 0.20 | 86.7% | 0.0 |
 Curtis DouglasC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:45 | 0.15 | 88.6% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.59 | −0.4 | 63:33 |