Tue, Feb 3, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, New York Islanders 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 77% of the time.
16%
70%
NYI winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:00 | 0.00 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:27 | 0.07 | 74.1% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.04 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.00 | 61.3% | +26.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.18 | 77.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:17 | 0.51 | 71.1% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:44 | 0.41 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.22 | 77.2% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.52 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.01 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.27 | 71.3% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.22 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.03 | 81.5% | +19.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.33 | 72.1% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.15 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.22 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 12:59 | 0.60 | 74.2% | +41.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 18 | 5 | .783 | 2.07 | −2.9 | 60:52 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 27:59 | 0.07 | 25.8% | +70.8 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 3 | 24:35 | 0.39 | 42.3% | +87.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 24:16 | 0.54 | 36.8% | +106.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.05 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.08 | 20.7% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.13 | 37.0% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.23 | 46.2% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.04 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.09 | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.02 | 17.6% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.27 | 41.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.02 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 3.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.03 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.07 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.04 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:04 | 0.00 | 21.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.78 | −0.2 | 60:22 |