Thu, Feb 5, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 83% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:46Goal by Zucker (McLeod, Byram)+12 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Bryson, McLeod, Kesselring, Quinn · PIT Malkin, Kulak, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov
- P1 2:30Shot by Shea, saved by Lyon
- P1 4:16Shot by Quinn, saved by Silovs
- P1 4:23Shot by Quinn, saved by Silovs
- P1 4:50Shot by Malkin, saved by Lyon
- P1 5:19Shot by Malkin, saved by Lyon
- P1 5:25Shot by Crosby, saved by Lyon
- P1 5:36Shot by Thompson, saved by Silovs
- P1 6:46Shot by Hayes, saved by Lyon
- P1 8:15Shot by Tuch, saved by Silovs
- P1 9:07Shot by Kesselring, saved by Silovs
- P1 9:18Goal by Hayes (Solovyov, McGroarty)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Bryson, Kesselring, Doan, Ostlund, Helenius · PIT Hayes, Clifton, Solovyov, Hayes, McGroarty
- P1 10:20Shot by Crosby, saved by Lyon
- P1 11:56Shot by Power, saved by Silovs
- P1 12:57Shot by Hayes, saved by Lyon
- P1 15:54Malkin: High sticking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Samuelsson, Power · PIT Malkin, Kulak, Novak, Shea, Dewar
- P1 15:57Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Lyon5v4
- P1 18:47Goal by Hayes (Mantha, Wotherspoon)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Thompson, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Doan · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Hayes
- P1 18:59Shea: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn · PIT Malkin, Kulak, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov
- P1 19:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Silovs5v4
- P1 0:00Period end5v4
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:58Shot by Tuch, saved by Silovs
- P2 2:00Shot by Tuch, saved by Silovs
- P2 2:29Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Lyon
- P2 2:55Shot by Malkin, saved by Lyon
- P2 7:21Shot by Thompson, saved by Silovs
- P2 7:44Goal by Kindel, unassisted+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Kesselring, Doan · PIT Karlsson, Clifton, Brazeau, Dewar, Kindel
- P2 8:55Shot by Kozak, saved by Silovs
- P2 8:59Shot by Power, saved by Silovs
- P2 10:03Crosby: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Quinn · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Mantha, Wotherspoon
- P2 10:21Shot by Quinn, saved by Silovs5v4
- P2 11:16Shot by Quinn, saved by Silovs5v4
- P2 13:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Silovs
- P2 16:19Shot by Novak, saved by Lyon
- P2 16:30Shot by Byram, saved by Silovs
- P2 17:54Tuch: Tripping (2 min)5v6
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Rosen, Ostlund, Helenius · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Hayes, Rust, Mantha, Wotherspoon
- P2 18:17Shot by Malkin, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 18:25Shot by Crosby, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 19:31Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:09Shot by Malkin, saved by Lyon
- P3 1:14Malkin: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · PIT Malkin, Kulak, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov
- P3 1:55Goal by Thompson (Quinn, Dahlin)5v4+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Doan · PIT Rust, Clifton, Shea, Dewar
- P3 2:53Shot by Brazeau, saved by Lyon
- P3 4:13Kesselring: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Kesselring, Byram, Doan · PIT Crosby, Rust, Kulak, Mantha, Shea
- P3 4:36Shot by Crosby, saved by Lyon4v5
- P3 4:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Lyon4v5
- P3 5:19Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lyon4v5
- P3 6:19Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Silovs
- P3 8:06Shot by Rosen, saved by Silovs
- P3 8:44Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Lyon
- P3 8:45Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Lyon
- P3 8:55Shot by Thompson, saved by Silovs
- P3 9:16Shot by Dewar, saved by Lyon
- P3 9:36Shot by Dahlin, saved by Silovs
- P3 10:33Krebs: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Krebs, Power, Kozak, Ostlund · PIT Hayes, Clifton, Solovyov, Hayes, McGroarty
- P3 10:33Clifton: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Krebs, Power, Kozak, Ostlund · PIT Hayes, Clifton, Solovyov, Hayes, McGroarty
- P3 10:33Krebs: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Krebs, Power, Kozak, Ostlund · PIT Hayes, Clifton, Solovyov, Hayes, McGroarty
- P3 13:02Shot by Brazeau, saved by Lyon
- P3 13:27Shot by Hayes, saved by Lyon
- P3 14:07Shot by Crosby, saved by Lyon
- P3 15:33Goal by Novak (Chinakhov, Malkin)+12 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · PIT Malkin, Kulak, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov
- P3 16:10Shot by Power, saved by Silovs
- P3 16:19Shot by Hayes, saved by Lyon
- P3 16:20Shot by Hayes, saved by Lyon
- P3 17:51Shot by Thompson, saved by Silovs6v5
- P3 18:06Shot by McLeod, saved by Silovs6v5
- P3 18:30Shot by Rosen, saved by Silovs6v5
- P3 18:31Mantha: Hooking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power, Rosen, Ostlund · PIT Crosby, Rust, Kulak, Mantha, Shea
- P3 19:46Goal by Kindel (Dewar)6v40 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Doan · PIT Clifton, Wotherspoon, Dewar, Kindel
- P3 19:59Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Silovs5v4
- P3 0:00Period end5v4
- P3 0:00Final5v4