PIT 5 @ BUF 2 · Feb 5, 2026

Thu, Feb 5, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 83% of the time.

13%

77%

BUF winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Malkin–Novak–Chinakhov	Crosby–Rust–Mantha	Brazeau–Dewar–Kindel	Hayes–Hayes–McGroarty	Crosby–Mantha–Hayes	Crosby–Rust–McGroarty	Karlsson–Wotherspoon	Kulak–Shea	Clifton–Solovyov	Kulak–Wotherspoon	Karlsson–Shea	Clifton–Wotherspoon
Zucker–McLeod–Quinn	2:370.10–0.43	2:460.11–0.07	3:410.10–0.08	0:390.00–0.00			4:020.15–0.04	3:010.04–0.30	2:100.11–0.08	0:310.00–0.00	0:450.00–0.17
Tuch–Thompson–Doan	0:570.17–0.00	2:380.07–0.00	1:220.21–0.09	0:320.00–0.17			2:160.07–0.00	1:470.15–0.01	1:020.12–0.17
Tuch–Thompson–Krebs	1:270.00–0.00	2:340.12–0.10	0:390.03–0.00				2:230.01–0.09	1:350.10–0.01	0:470.03–0.00
Rosen–Ostlund–Helenius				1:420.00–0.06				0:400.00–0.13	1:260.05–0.00
Malenstyn–Krebs–Kozak	2:110.14–0.14						0:420.00–0.00	1:140.14–0.07
Malenstyn–Rosen–Kozak	0:360.00–0.08		0:360.00–0.00	0:350.00–0.01			1:020.00–0.08	0:400.00–0.01	0:360.00–0.00
Doan–Ostlund–Helenius				1:300.00–0.20				1:060.06–0.00	1:060.00–0.20
Byram–Power	7:010.22–0.58	2:470.08–0.08	2:170.08–0.00	1:040.00–0.06		0:450.00–0.00	4:530.13–0.16	5:470.28–0.49	2:150.09–0.00	0:400.00–0.06	1:060.00–0.14
Samuelsson–Dahlin	2:520.08–0.38	5:330.28–0.05	2:030.04–0.20	1:500.00–0.17			5:530.17–0.17	2:420.10–0.01	3:430.11–0.55	0:340.00–0.00	0:330.04–0.07
Bryson–Kesselring			1:360.12–0.08	2:020.00–0.22				1:320.03–0.01	1:360.00–0.20
Dahlin–Byram			0:310.01–0.00	0:460.00–0.03				0:540.01–0.00	0:300.00–0.00
Samuelsson–Power								0:350.22–0.20
Samuelsson–Kesselring					0:370.00–0.17							0:430.20–0.00

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

BUFPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Rasmus DahlinBUF	32	26:32	0:50	2:25	5	4
Bowen ByramBUF	30	26:00	0:52	1:30	2	6
Owen PowerBUF	30	25:12	0:50	1:22	2	7
Parker WotherspoonPIT	24	23:37	0:59	2:22	4	4
Bryan RustPIT	23	23:31	1:01	2:28	3	3
Tage ThompsonBUF	24	23:18	0:58	1:38	7	3
Erik KarlssonPIT	23	22:47	0:59	2:24	7	1
Mattias SamuelssonBUF	28	22:42	0:49	1:47	2	3
Alex TuchBUF	26	20:53	0:48	1:35	4	5
Sidney CrosbyPIT	21	20:05	0:57	2:44	3	0
Ryan McLeodBUF	28	20:01	0:43	1:28	2	11
Ryan SheaPIT	26	19:29	0:45	1:34	2	3
Jack QuinnBUF	20	19:24	0:58	2:16	3	6
Jason ZuckerBUF	21	18:48	0:54	1:34	4	6
Brett KulakPIT	25	18:44	0:45	1:31	2	3
Josh DoanBUF	23	18:35	0:48	1:32	5	2
Evgeni MalkinPIT	19	17:59	0:57	2:06	5	3
Ben KindelPIT	21	17:27	0:50	2:06	4	3
Connor CliftonPIT	21	17:19	0:49	1:34	0	7
Anthony ManthaPIT	20	16:30	0:50	1:27	3	1
Connor DewarPIT	18	15:41	0:52	1:37	1	6
Tommy NovakPIT	17	15:19	0:54	1:57	2	3
Egor ChinakhovPIT	17	13:08	0:46	1:21	2	3
Noah OstlundBUF	18	12:23	0:41	1:29	0	1
Ilya SolovyovPIT	17	12:08	0:43	0:59	0	2
Justin BrazeauPIT	14	11:11	0:48	1:32	1	3
Beck MalenstynBUF	17	11:10	0:39	0:59	1	5
Peyton KrebsBUF	16	10:40	0:40	1:09	4	3
Tyson KozakBUF	18	10:38	0:35	1:02	1	3
Isak RosenBUF	13	10:36	0:49	1:28	1	1
Avery HayesPIT	14	10:09	0:44	1:08	0	0
Rutger McGroartyPIT	16	10:01	0:38	0:55	1	0
Konsta HeleniusBUF	11	8:02	0:44	1:22	0	1
Michael KesselringBUF	14	7:56	0:34	1:04	0	2
Kevin HayesPIT	12	7:07	0:36	0:48	0	0
Jacob BrysonBUF	7	4:19	0:37	1:02	0	1

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Buffalo Sabres 2

Who was on the ice

Shift totals