Sat, Feb 28, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 80% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:50Cozens: Roughing (2 min)6v5
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Nylander, Matthews, Maccelli · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub
- P1 2:52Goal by Rielly (Matthews, McCabe)+12 pts WP
On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies · OTT Giroux, Eller, Chabot, Cozens, Kleven
- P1 3:02Shot by Joshua, saved by Ullmark
- P1 3:28Shot by Eller, saved by Woll
- P1 5:33Shot by Zub, saved by Woll
- P1 5:34Shot by Amadio, saved by Woll
- P1 8:02Shot by Giroux, saved by Woll
- P1 10:59Goal by Chabot (Tkachuk, Cozens)+16 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, Maccelli · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig
- P1 11:16Shot by Sanderson, saved by Woll
- P1 12:06Shot by Cousins, saved by Woll
- P1 12:47Shot by Cozens, saved by Woll
- P1 12:57Shot by Greig, saved by Woll
- P1 13:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll
- P1 13:03Benoit: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TOR Rielly, Laughton, Joshua, Benoit, Robertson · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig
- P1 13:45Shot by Stützle, saved by Woll4v5
- P1 14:16Shot by Pinto, saved by Woll4v5
- P1 14:57Shot by Halliday, saved by Woll4v5
- P1 15:19Shot by Greig, saved by Woll
- P1 17:08Shot by Pinto, saved by Woll
- P1 19:18Shot by Stützle, saved by Woll
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:25Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll
- P2 1:10Shot by Batherson, saved by Woll
- P2 1:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
- P2 3:03Goal by Cozens (Chabot, Zetterlund)+17 pts WP
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Roy, Stecher, Robertson, McMann · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Cozens
- P2 3:25Shot by Chabot, saved by Woll
- P2 6:55Shot by Robertson, saved by Ullmark
- P2 8:21Shot by Chabot, saved by Woll
- P2 9:23Shot by Halliday, saved by Woll
- P2 11:36Shot by Amadio, saved by Woll
- P2 12:59Shot by Batherson, saved by Woll
- P2 13:00Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Woll
- P2 13:05Goal by Batherson, unassisted+16 pts WP
On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, Knies · OTT Eller, Zetterlund, Batherson, Sanderson, Zub
- P2 13:51Shot by Laughton, saved by Ullmark
- P2 13:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark
- P2 13:56Goal by Nylander (Laughton, Maccelli)+16 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Maccelli · OTT Batherson, Spence, Greig, Kleven, Stützle
- P2 15:15Goal by Batherson, unassisted+18 pts WP
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Benoit, Knies · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Stützle
- P2 15:15Robertson: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)
On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Benoit, Knies · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Stützle
- P2 15:17Shot by McCabe, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P2 16:06Goal by Cozens (Stützle, Sanderson)4v5+7 pts WP
On ice: TOR Laughton, McCabe, Carlo, Roy · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle
- P2 16:23Shot by Pinto, saved by Stolarz
- P2 16:50Shot by Stützle, saved by Stolarz
- P2 17:05Shot by Jensen, saved by Stolarz
- P2 18:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
- P2 18:28Shot by McMann, saved by Ullmark
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:56Shot by McCabe, saved by Ullmark
- P3 1:31Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Ullmark
- P3 1:41Shot by Maccelli, saved by Ullmark
- P3 3:32Shot by Greig, saved by Stolarz
- P3 3:34Stolarz: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Laughton, Domi, Carlo, Benoit, McMann · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson
- P3 3:34Greig: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Laughton, Domi, Carlo, Benoit, McMann · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson
- P3 3:34Cousins: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Laughton, Domi, Carlo, Benoit, McMann · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson
- P3 3:34Domi: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Laughton, Domi, Carlo, Benoit, McMann · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson
- P3 3:34Laughton: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Laughton, Domi, Carlo, Benoit, McMann · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson
- P3 3:34Cousins: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Laughton, Domi, Carlo, Benoit, McMann · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson
- P3 3:34Domi: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TOR Laughton, Domi, Carlo, Benoit, McMann · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson
- P3 5:08Shot by Robertson, saved by Ullmark
- P3 7:33Shot by Carlo, saved by Ullmark
- P3 8:09Tavares: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, Maccelli · OTT Eller, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub
- P3 8:09Pinto: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, Maccelli · OTT Eller, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub
- P3 8:26Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Stolarz4v4
- P3 8:40Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Stolarz4v4
- P3 8:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Ullmark4v4
- P3 9:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark4v4
- P3 10:02Shot by Batherson, saved by Stolarz4v4
- P3 10:25Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Stolarz
- P3 10:27Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, Carlo, Matthews, Benoit, Maccelli · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Zub
- P3 11:57Shot by McMann, saved by Ullmark5v4
- P3 11:58Shot by McMann, saved by Ullmark5v4
- P3 13:33Shot by Pinto, saved by Stolarz
- P3 15:24Shot by Carlo, saved by Ullmark
- P3 16:25Shot by Carlo, saved by Ullmark
- P3 16:40Shot by Rielly, saved by Ullmark
- P3 16:44Rielly: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Rielly, Joshua, Carlo, Matthews, Stecher · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Kleven, Stützle, Zub
- P3 16:53Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Stolarz4v5
- P3 16:58Shot by Cozens, saved by Stolarz4v5
- P3 19:25Shot by Cowan, saved by Ullmark
- P3 19:58Shot by Spence, saved by Stolarz
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final