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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 28, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Detroit Red Wings 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Away

Detroit Red Wings

2

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.

CAR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by Chiarot, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:24Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 3:49Shot by Miller, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 4:31Shot by Blake, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 7:00Shot by Jarvis, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 11:20Shot by Shine, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 12:25Shot by Jarvis, saved by Talbot
  10. P1 13:18Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 14:05Goal by Hall, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Aho, Nikishin, Blake · DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper

  12. P1 15:20Shot by Blake, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 15:34Shot by Ehlers, saved by Talbot
  14. P1 15:52Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 17:11Shot by Aho, saved by Talbot
  16. P1 18:46Shot by Robinson, saved by Talbot
  17. P1 19:19Johansson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Gostisbehere, Martinook, Ehlers, Aho · DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Shine, Rasmussen, Johansson

  18. P1 19:29Shot by Aho, saved by Talbot5v4
  19. P1 19:52Goal by Aho (Gostisbehere, Jarvis)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Gostisbehere, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · DET Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider, Edvinsson

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:23Shot by Miller, saved by Talbot
  23. P2 1:04Shot by Ehlers, saved by Talbot
  24. P2 2:19Shot by Blake, saved by Talbot
  25. P2 2:30Shot by Johansson, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 2:52Goal by Robinson (Carrier, Walker)+8 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jankowski, Carrier, Walker, Robinson, Miller · DET van Riemsdyk, Shine, Rasmussen, Johansson, Sandin-Pellikka

  27. P2 3:21Shot by Seider, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 3:24Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 3:56Shot by Ehlers, saved by Talbot
  30. P2 4:38Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 5:48Shot by Carrier, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 6:48Shot by Chiarot, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 8:21Shot by Slavin, saved by Talbot
  34. P2 10:24Shot by Stankoven, saved by Talbot
  35. P2 11:05Shot by Shine, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 13:01Shot by Copp, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 13:09Shot by Chiarot, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 13:38Shot by Jarvis, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 14:01Shot by Blake, saved by Talbot
  40. P2 14:26Shot by Walker, saved by Talbot
  41. P2 14:44Shot by Jarvis, saved by Talbot
  42. P2 14:45Shot by Miller, saved by Talbot
  43. P2 15:12Shot by Compher, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 15:31Shot by Kasper, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 16:34Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Talbot
  46. P2 17:04Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 17:05Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 17:07Svechnikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · DET Kane, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker

  49. P2 17:07Chiarot: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis · DET Kane, Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker

  50. P2 18:26Goal by Edvinsson (DeBrincat, Larkin)4v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis · DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson

  51. P2 19:03Shot by Seider, saved by Andersen4v4
  52. P2 19:13Goal by Kane (Seider, Compher)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Slavin, Svechnikov, Blake · DET Kane, Compher, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson

  53. P2 19:28Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 19:29Shot by Copp, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 2:18Goal by Gostisbehere (Blake, Hall)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · DET van Riemsdyk, Compher, Appleton, Johansson, Sandin-Pellikka

  58. P3 2:40Shot by Chiarot, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 2:45Shot by Kasper, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 4:28Shot by Miller, saved by Talbot
  61. P3 4:43Shot by Compher, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 5:16Shot by Appleton, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 5:30Goal by Blake (Hall, Gostisbehere)+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · DET van Riemsdyk, Compher, Appleton, Seider, Edvinsson

  64. P3 6:42Walker: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis · DET Chiarot, Shine, Bernard-Docker, Kasper, Finnie

  65. P3 7:07Larkin: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Chatfield · DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond

  66. P3 8:17Shot by Hall, saved by Talbot4v4
  67. P3 10:47Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 13:24Shot by Jarvis, saved by Talbot
  69. P3 14:09Shot by Jankowski, saved by Talbot
  70. P3 14:46Shot by Slavin, saved by Talbot
  71. P3 15:09Edvinsson: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: CAR Hall, Gostisbehere, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake · DET van Riemsdyk, Compher, Appleton, Bernard-Docker, Seider

  72. P3 15:16Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Talbot5v4
  73. P3 15:24Shot by Aho, saved by Talbot5v4
  74. P3 15:29Shot by Chiarot, saved by Andersen5v4
  75. P3 18:31Shot by Robinson, saved by Talbot5v4
  76. P3 19:01Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Talbot5v4
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final