Sat, Feb 28, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Detroit Red Wings 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.
65%
20%
CAR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:07 | 0.20 | 43.8% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:39 | 0.10 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.10 | 49.1% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:39 | 0.19 | 35.7% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.15 | 28.8% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.27 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:23 | 0.13 | 40.9% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.16 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.20 | 41.4% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.05 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.08 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 9:10 | 0.03 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:05 | 0.41 | 40.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 31 | 5 | .861 | 3.48 | −1.5 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:57 | 0.11 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:03 | 0.12 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 19:43 | 0.26 | 80.5% | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.01 | 68.8% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:00 | 0.01 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:53 | 0.23 | 50.5% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.30 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:47 | 0.48 | 85.4% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.00 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:56 | 0.43 | 50.0% | +11.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.16 | 91.4% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.00 | 86.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.10 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.32 | 93.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.04 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.44 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:21 | 0.37 | 53.1% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:55 | 0.08 | 57.4% | +7.9 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.09 | +0.1 | 60:00 |