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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 28, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Detroit Red Wings 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.

CAR winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Larkin–Raymond–KasperKane–Copp–DeBrincatCompher–Appleton–FinnieCopp–DeBrincat–Raymondvan Riemsdyk–Shine–RasmussenKane–Larkin–Rasmussenvan Riemsdyk–Compher–AppletonShine–Kasper–FinnieSeider–EdvinssonChiarot–Bernard-DockerJohansson–Sandin-PellikkaChiarot–Johansson
Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis6:070.06–0.352:290.19–0.000:320.00–0.171:160.06–0.001:560.00–0.116:320.31–0.411:360.00–0.000:510.00–0.06
Hall–Stankoven–Blake5:490.39–0.001:030.18–0.000:350.09–0.002:500.20–0.001:340.25–0.003:500.34–0.005:300.32–0.00
Staal–Martinook–Ehlers5:500.18–0.110:470.00–0.182:400.10–0.000:450.00–0.077:480.19–0.172:200.08–0.180:440.00–0.00
Jankowski–Carrier–Robinson0:430.21–0.000:370.01–0.001:190.20–0.003:230.29–0.440:320.00–0.112:570.28–0.412:270.01–0.101:510.43–0.12
Walker–Miller2:130.00–0.004:530.17–0.171:020.01–0.004:420.29–0.181:210.29–0.001:410.06–0.074:090.07–0.118:580.46–0.313:010.43–0.04
Slavin–Chatfield5:270.15–0.182:370.21–0.182:210.08–0.443:530.43–0.2210:170.47–0.573:430.08–0.381:250.08–0.070:520.00–0.06
Gostisbehere–Nikishin0:410.15–0.006:070.39–0.000:400.23–0.003:230.20–0.120:340.00–0.072:240.31–0.073:520.47–0.005:290.19–0.110:360.12–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAho FJarvis FSvechnikov FMartinook FStaal FEhlers FStankoven FBlake FHall FJankowski FCarrier FRobinson FMiller DWalker DChatfield DSlavin DGostisbehere DNikishin DAndersen GCopp FKane FDeBrincat FRaymond FLarkin FKasper FCompher FAppleton FFinnie Fvan Riemsdyk FRasmussen FShine FChiarot DBernard-Docker DSeider DEdvinsson DSandin-Pellikka DJohansson DTalbot G
CARDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2625:070:581:2329
Ben ChiarotDET3123:390:461:4414
K'Andre MillerCAR2421:570:551:4823
Simon EdvinssonDET2521:370:521:3219
Jaccob SlavinCAR2721:030:471:5963
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET2821:010:451:3523
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2019:430:591:5561
Sean WalkerCAR2519:110:461:2122
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2519:000:462:0662
Sebastian AhoCAR2217:530:491:2741
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2117:500:511:3641
Jackson BlakeCAR2117:470:511:3850
Jordan StaalCAR2317:210:451:0794
Lucas RaymondDET2117:160:491:3248
Seth JarvisCAR2116:560:481:3651
Dylan LarkinDET2416:390:421:2239
Taylor HallCAR2016:330:501:3951
J.T. CompherDET2016:310:501:3717
Alexander NikishinCAR1916:170:511:2761
Albert JohanssonDET2216:120:441:1325
Nikolaj EhlersCAR2116:090:461:1273
Andrew CoppDET2115:470:451:0323
Logan StankovenCAR1715:230:541:4741
Alex DeBrincatDET2015:230:461:1222
Marco KasperDET2015:180:461:3127
Patrick KaneDET2115:120:431:2630
Jordan MartinookCAR2115:110:431:1982
Mason AppletonDET1814:350:491:3615
Emmitt FinnieDET1714:170:501:3015
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET1712:210:441:3223
Michael RasmussenDET1812:170:411:1614
Mark JankowskiCAR159:300:380:5630
Eric RobinsonCAR139:210:431:0540
James van RiemsdykDET149:100:390:5814
Dominik ShineDET159:050:360:5500
William CarrierCAR148:550:381:1730