Sat, Feb 28, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Nashville Predators 2, Dallas Stars 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
9%
29%
DAL winsNSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stamkos–O'Reilly–Evangelista | Haula–Marchessault–Forsberg | Jost–L'Heureux–Wood | McCarron–Bunting–Smith | Haula–Forsberg–Bunting | Marchessault–McCarron–Smith | McCarron–Smith–L'Heureux | Stamkos–Jost–Wood | Josi–Skjei | Hague–Blankenburg | Hague–Perbix | Perbix–Wilsby | Skjei–Perbix | Josi–Blankenburg | Josi–Perbix | Josi–Hague | Josi–Wilsby | Skjei–Hague | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robertson–Bourque–Johnston | 6:570.34–0.19 | 1:000.05–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.05 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:080.06–0.00 | 4:430.26–0.05 | 1:560.35–0.12 | 2:290.15–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.02 | 1:010.00–0.04 | 0:540.00–0.09 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Benn–Duchene–Steel | 3:320.13–0.14 | 3:490.10–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:380.06–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 3:520.05–0.03 | 2:110.04–0.03 | 1:260.05–0.00 | 2:190.06–0.15 | 0:470.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Bastian–Bäck–Hyry | 1:210.08–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 1:480.13–0.00 | 1:220.15–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.05 | 1:010.02–0.00 | 0:320.06–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Blackwell–Erne–Hryckowian | 1:210.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.02 | 0:340.07–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Duchene–Robertson–Johnston | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Duchene–Robertson–Bourque | 0:330.00–0.08 | 0:420.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||||||
| Lindell–Heiskanen | 7:260.34–0.21 | 0:330.00–0.05 | 0:360.00–0.01 | 4:470.22–0.05 | 1:390.17–0.07 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.09 | 1:110.00–0.14 | |||||||||
| Lundkvist–Harley | 3:450.13–0.06 | 1:330.04–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:510.15–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 3:290.07–0.03 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 2:070.20–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.03 | 1:120.16–0.00 | ||||||||
| Lyubushkin–Bichsel | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.01 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.12 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:120.08–0.00 | 2:480.18–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.04 | 1:200.02–0.02 | 1:040.07–0.00 | 0:430.01–0.01 | |||||||
| Heiskanen–Harley | 2:540.17–0.00 | 0:590.04–0.00 | 0:450.06–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.08 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:110.04–0.00 | 1:270.01–0.11 | 0:570.06–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.08 | |||||||||
| Lindell–Lundkvist | 1:190.15–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:410.15–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Harley–Bichsel | ||||||||||||||||||
| Lundkvist–Lyubushkin | 0:380.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Heiskanen–Bichsel | ||||||||||||||||||
| Lindell–Harley |
Every shift, one row per player.
DALNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Roman JosiNSH | 33 | 29:09 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 4 | 4 |
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 29 | 25:36 | 0:53 | 1:56 | 10 | 4 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 24 | 24:24 | 1:01 | 2:04 | 3 | 3 |
 Brady SkjeiNSH | 28 | 23:57 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 2 | 7 |
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 27 | 23:22 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 5 | 2 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 25 | 23:05 | 0:55 | 2:04 | 6 | 0 |
 Ryan O'ReillyNSH | 27 | 22:02 | 0:49 | 1:54 | 3 | 6 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 24 | 21:45 | 0:54 | 1:33 | 5 | 0 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 27 | 21:44 | 0:48 | 1:56 | 6 | 0 |
 Steven StamkosNSH | 26 | 20:26 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 2 | 7 |
 Nicolas HagueNSH | 27 | 20:01 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 0 | 3 |
 Matt DucheneDAL | 22 | 19:23 | 0:53 | 1:53 | 7 | 2 |
 Nick PerbixNSH | 26 | 19:23 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 1 | 5 |
 Filip ForsbergNSH | 24 | 18:50 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 4 | 1 |
 Sam SteelDAL | 24 | 18:43 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 7 | 4 |
 Nick BlankenburgNSH | 23 | 18:05 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 0 | 2 |
 Erik HaulaNSH | 24 | 17:26 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 2 | 0 |
 Luke EvangelistaNSH | 25 | 17:20 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 1 | 7 |
 Nils LundkvistDAL | 24 | 16:26 | 0:41 | 1:48 | 3 | 3 |
 Michael McCarronNSH | 20 | 15:59 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 1 | 6 |
 Jamie BennDAL | 19 | 15:41 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 7 | 2 |
 Lian BichselDAL | 17 | 15:33 | 0:55 | 1:30 | 0 | 1 |
 Jonathan MarchessaultNSH | 17 | 15:17 | 0:54 | 1:28 | 5 | 0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinDAL | 19 | 14:26 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Cole SmithNSH | 20 | 14:09 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 1 | 6 |
 Michael BuntingNSH | 17 | 13:52 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Justin HryckowianDAL | 18 | 12:30 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 2 | 3 |
 Matthew WoodNSH | 13 | 11:17 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 2 | 0 |
 Colin BlackwellDAL | 18 | 10:41 | 0:36 | 1:06 | 1 | 5 |
 Oskar BäckDAL | 16 | 9:57 | 0:37 | 0:57 | 2 | 3 |
 Arttu HyryDAL | 15 | 9:37 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 2 | 2 |
 Zachary L'HeureuxNSH | 11 | 9:11 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 1 | 0 |
 Tyson JostNSH | 10 | 9:08 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 0 | 0 |
 Nathan BastianDAL | 14 | 8:33 | 0:37 | 0:57 | 2 | 2 |
 Adam ErneDAL | 13 | 8:12 | 0:38 | 0:44 | 1 | 2 |
 Adam WilsbyNSH | 8 | 5:48 | 0:44 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |