Sun, Mar 1, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Vegas Golden Knights 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
11%
38%
PIT winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:09 | 0.14 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.02 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.12 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.08 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.29 | 89.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.03 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.35 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.07 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.17 | 90.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.20 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.11 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.01 | 86.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.06 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 14:52 | 0.38 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:06 | 0.00 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 17 | 5 | .773 | 2.10 | −2.9 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.15 | 26.5% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 | 0.00 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:40 | 0.08 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.00 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:07 | 0.17 | 43.3% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.01 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.42 | 64.2% | +8.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.44 | 52.5% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:07 | 0.04 | 43.8% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:50 | 0.25 | 47.0% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:23 | 0.32 | 84.8% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 3.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.14 | 64.0% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.04 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.04 | 78.9% | +14.0 |
| W | 22 | 22 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.02 | +2.0 | 60:00 |