Sun, Mar 1, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Vegas Golden Knights 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
11%
38%
PIT winsVGK wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Smith–Marner–Dorofeyev | Saad–Hertl–Kolesar | Stone–Barbashev–Eichel | Hertl–Kolesar–Bowman | Sissons–Reinhardt–Bowman | Barbashev–Eichel–Bowman | Saad–Sissons–Reinhardt | Saad–Marner–Dorofeyev | Smith–Barbashev–Eichel | Hertl–Kolesar–Reinhardt | Barbashev–Eichel–Marner | Barbashev–Eichel–Dorofeyev | Hanifin–Andersson | McNabb–Theodore | McNabb–Korczak | Theodore–Lauzon | Lauzon–Korczak | Theodore–Korczak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malkin–Novak–Chinakhov | 4:170.07–0.35 | 1:420.04–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.08 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 4:340.06–0.14 | 1:540.06–0.16 | 1:100.12–0.08 | 1:030.00–0.07 | 1:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Acciari–Dewar–Lizotte | 3:140.00–0.42 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.22 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:400.00–0.07 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.22 | 2:240.00–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.07 | 1:030.00–0.34 | |||||||
| Rust–Rakell–Hayes | 1:310.01–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.05 | 1:420.05–0.00 | 2:450.00–0.07 | 1:450.01–0.02 | 3:120.00–0.15 | 1:420.00–0.05 | 1:210.05–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Mantha–Brazeau–Kindel | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:330.08–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:430.04–0.00 | 3:000.12–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Malkin–Rakell–Hayes | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Acciari–Lizotte–Hayes | 0:420.00–0.04 | 0:320.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||||
| Brazeau–Hayes–Kindel | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Novak–Brazeau–Chinakhov | 0:320.00–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||||
| Letang–Girard | 1:420.01–0.01 | 3:360.07–0.14 | 1:380.00–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:030.05–0.00 | 0:310.17–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:570.09–0.00 | 6:220.29–0.16 | 3:190.06–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:470.05–0.01 | 1:460.00–0.00 | |||||
| Clifton–Shea | 3:050.00–0.38 | 1:040.00–0.01 | 0:480.11–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:420.04–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 4:030.04–0.08 | 2:340.04–0.10 | 2:030.00–0.00 | 2:030.07–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.08 | 0:470.00–0.31 | |||||
| Karlsson–Wotherspoon | 1:260.00–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.21 | 1:280.00–0.05 | 1:430.08–0.08 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:410.12–0.07 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.22 | 0:410.04–0.00 | 3:100.12–0.00 | 2:230.00–0.28 | 2:580.13–0.35 | 3:050.05–0.07 | 1:360.00–0.00 | ||||
| Clifton–Wotherspoon | 0:410.00–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Girard | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Shea | 0:440.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 21 | 21:58 | 1:03 | 1:50 | 7 | 1 |
 Brayden McNabbVGK | 26 | 21:09 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Noah HanifinVGK | 30 | 19:57 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Shea TheodoreVGK | 24 | 19:55 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonPIT | 19 | 19:32 | 1:02 | 2:04 | 0 | 5 |
 Rasmus AnderssonVGK | 31 | 19:07 | 0:37 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 20 | 18:40 | 0:56 | 1:41 | 0 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerVGK | 19 | 18:35 | 0:59 | 2:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Jack EichelVGK | 19 | 18:34 | 0:59 | 2:03 | 3 | 3 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 19 | 18:33 | 0:59 | 2:08 | 3 | 1 |
 Tomas HertlVGK | 22 | 18:30 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 19 | 18:12 | 0:57 | 1:43 | 0 | 5 |
 Jeremy LauzonVGK | 27 | 18:11 | 0:40 | 0:55 | 3 | 6 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 20 | 18:07 | 0:54 | 1:51 | 6 | 0 |
 Samuel GirardPIT | 19 | 17:58 | 0:57 | 1:52 | 0 | 3 |
 Pavel DorofeyevVGK | 17 | 17:34 | 1:02 | 1:39 | 3 | 0 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 22 | 17:08 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 8 | 1 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 18 | 16:50 | 0:56 | 1:31 | 6 | 2 |
 Brandon SaadVGK | 19 | 16:28 | 0:52 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Braeden BowmanVGK | 19 | 16:18 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 3 | 1 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 20 | 16:04 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 0 | 7 |
 Kaedan KorczakVGK | 21 | 16:02 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 1 | 1 |
 Ivan BarbashevVGK | 19 | 15:58 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 4 | 1 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 20 | 15:07 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Reilly SmithVGK | 20 | 14:52 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 1 | 0 |
 Egor ChinakhovPIT | 18 | 14:50 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 2 | 0 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 18 | 14:23 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 0 | 3 |
 Blake LizottePIT | 18 | 14:08 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 0 | 4 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 20 | 14:07 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 1 | 9 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 16 | 14:04 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 3 | 1 |
 Keegan KolesarVGK | 20 | 13:53 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 2 | 3 |
 Avery HayesPIT | 14 | 13:18 | 0:57 | 1:47 | 2 | 1 |
 Colton SissonsVGK | 18 | 13:05 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 3 | 3 |
 Justin BrazeauPIT | 18 | 13:01 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 0 | 2 |
 Cole ReinhardtVGK | 13 | 10:18 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Mark StoneVGK | 6 | 6:06 | 1:01 | 1:35 | 1 | 0 |