Tue, Mar 3, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Dallas Stars 6, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 78% of the time.
14%
71%
CGY winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas HarleyD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:52 | 0.07 | 71.1% | +4.1 |
 Miro HeiskanenD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.06 | 74.2% | 0.0 |
 Nils LundkvistD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:26 | 0.03 | 78.2% | +4.1 |
 Esa LindellD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.23 | 63.3% | +9.0 |
 Mavrik BourqueC · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:37 | 0.31 | 54.8% | +15.2 |
 Jason RobertsonLW · #21 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:02 | 0.22 | 46.6% | +15.9 |
 Wyatt JohnstonC · #53 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.22 | 43.9% | +15.9 |
 Justin HryckowianC · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.17 | 91.2% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
 Lian BichselD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.03 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Sam SteelC · #18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.14 | 50.4% | +39.9 |
 Arttu HyryRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.42 | 68.1% | 0.0 |
 Oskar BäckC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.38 | 87.5% | 0.0 |
 Colin BlackwellC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:39 | 0.08 | 93.2% | 0.0 |
 Matt DucheneC · #95 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 43.8% | +40.7 |
 Adam ErneLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:39 | 0.59 | 79.3% | 0.0 |
 Jamie BennLW · #14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 11:43 | 0.18 | 51.9% | +30.9 |
 Nathan BastianRW · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.06 | 66.7% | +4.1 |
 Casey DeSmith#1 | W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 1.54 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Yan KuznetsovD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 |
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.07 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:42 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.22 | 38.5% | 0.0 |
 Zayne ParekhD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.10 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.17 | 19.1% | 0.0 |
 Joel HanleyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.01 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Adam KlapkaRW · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.04 | 35.6% | +15.3 |
 Matvei GridinRW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.21 | 36.4% | 0.0 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.06 | 32.5% | +15.3 |
 Connor ZaryC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.22 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Joel FarabeeLW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.08 | 33.9% | 0.0 |
 John BeecherC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.18 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.09 | 13.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan FrostC · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.09 | 59.2% | +15.3 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Devin Cooley#1 | – | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 2.15 | +0.2 | 33:49 |
 Dustin Wolf#32 | L | 17 | 13 | 4 | .765 | 1.04 | −3.0 | 26:02 |