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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 3, 2026·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Minnesota Wild 5

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Minnesota Wild

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 61% of the time.

MIN winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Hughes, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:42Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 2:03Shot by Holmberg, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 3:46Goal by Faber (Johansson, Boldy)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy, Faber · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  6. P1 5:10Hagel: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Hartman, Middleton, Kaprizov · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  7. P1 8:17Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Gustavsson
  8. P1 12:40Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 12:49Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 13:28Shot by Hughes, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 13:31Sabourin: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber · TBL Sabourin, Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Lilleberg, Geekie

  12. P1 13:37Shot by Middleton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 15:04Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Gustavsson
  14. P1 15:05Brodin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Boldy · TBL Hedman, Bjorkstrand, Cirelli, Hagel, Lilleberg

  15. P1 15:19Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  16. P1 15:27Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  17. P1 15:50Shot by Boldy, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  18. P1 16:28Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  19. P1 18:05Shot by McDonagh, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 18:22Shot by Hagel, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P1 19:57Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gustavsson
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:16Shot by Moser, saved by Gustavsson
  25. P2 0:58Shot by Faber, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 3:00Shot by Hagel, saved by Gustavsson
  27. P2 3:10Bjorkstrand: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Hinostroza, Fabbri, Hughes, Yurov · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Bjorkstrand, Cernak, Cirelli, Geekie

  28. P2 4:11Kaprizov: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Girgensons, Cernak

  29. P2 4:24Cirelli: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Hartman, Hughes · TBL Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous

  30. P2 4:59Goal by Zuccarello (Hughes, Boldy)4v3+12 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Cernak

  31. P2 5:05Point: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Brodin, Hartman, Faber · TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Moser

  32. P2 7:52Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 8:30Shot by Fabbri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 8:44Shot by Fabbri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 9:33Hinostroza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Tarasenko, Hinostroza, Hughes, Sturm, Faber · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  36. P2 10:35Shot by Raddysh, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  37. P2 15:07Goal by Kucherov (Point, Guentzel)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy, Faber · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Moser

  38. P2 17:05Shot by Trenin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 17:10Goal by Trenin (Zuccarello)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Trenin, Faber, Yurov · TBL Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Lilleberg, Geekie

  40. P2 17:36Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 19:04Shot by Boldy, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:34Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P3 1:35Raddysh: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Boldy, Faber · TBL Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser, Geekie

  46. P3 2:57Shot by Boldy, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  47. P3 3:26Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  48. P3 3:53Shot by Trenin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 3:59Shot by Brodin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 4:29Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P3 5:43Shot by Geekie, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P3 6:35Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 6:53Goal by Hughes, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy, Faber · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Moser

  54. P3 10:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Gustavsson
  55. P3 12:12Shot by Hughes, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 16:30Shot by Gourde, saved by Gustavsson5v6
  57. P3 16:31Shot by Gourde, saved by Gustavsson5v6
  58. P3 16:41Goal by Kaprizov (Faber, Boldy)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Boldy, Faber · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Holmberg, Geekie

  59. P3 17:35Shot by Gourde, saved by Gustavsson
  60. P3 18:47Shot by D'Astous, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P3 19:01Bogosian: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Tarasenko, Hartman, Middleton · TBL Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, D'Astous, Lilleberg, Geekie

  62. P3 19:19Shot by Trenin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  63. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  64. P3 0:00Final4v5