Tue, Mar 3, 2026·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Minnesota Wild 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 61% of the time.
52%
9%
9%
30%
MIN winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:07 | 0.48 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:56 | 0.34 | 59.7% | +13.6 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:11 | 0.53 | 66.9% | +13.6 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.10 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 69.9% | +13.6 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.38 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.04 | 51.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.36 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.08 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 31.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.01 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.01 | 30.3% | 0.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.07 | 15.6% | 0.0 |
 Scott SabourinRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:29 | 0.02 | 20.2% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.26 | −1.7 | 58:18 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Quinn HughesD · #43 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 26:01 | 0.26 | 64.6% | +15.6 |
 Brock FaberD · #7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 24:12 | 0.17 | 69.7% | +12.7 |
 Kirill KaprizovLW · #97 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:11 | 1.08 | 57.6% | +0.1 |
 Mats ZuccarelloRW · #36 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.23 | 75.7% | +25.3 |
 Matt BoldyLW · #12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 19:57 | 0.14 | 40.2% | +24.3 |
 Jake MiddletonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.02 | 45.5% | 0.0 |
 Joel Eriksson EkC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan HartmanRW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 69.3% | 0.0 |
 Jared SpurgeonD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 |
 Jonas BrodinD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.02 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Yakov TreninC · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:18 | 0.48 | 43.6% | +13.7 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.15 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.20 | 59.8% | 0.0 |
 Danila YurovRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.00 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Marcus JohanssonLW · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.06 | 57.3% | +12.6 |
 Nico SturmC · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Robby FabbriC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:16 | 0.21 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Filip Gustavsson#32 | W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.42 | +1.4 | 60:00 |