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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 5, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

5

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 68% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:33Shot by Thompson, saved by Silovs
  3. P1 2:36Shot by Brazeau, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 2:57Shot by Kesselring, saved by Silovs
  5. P1 3:10Shot by Mantha, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 3:19Shot by Malkin, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 3:22Krebs: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Clifton, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs, Metsa

  8. P1 3:44Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  9. P1 6:19Shot by Ostlund, saved by Silovs
  10. P1 8:16Karlsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Novak, Girard, Chinakhov · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Quinn

  11. P1 8:54Shot by Norris, saved by Silovs4v5
  12. P1 9:38Shot by Byram, saved by Silovs4v5
  13. P1 10:24Quinn: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Mantha, Shea, Brazeau, Kindel · BUF Krebs, Byram, Quinn, Power, Benson

  14. P1 12:00Goal by McLeod, unassisted5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Novak, Brazeau, Chinakhov, Kindel · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Power

  15. P1 14:04Acciari: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Acciari, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte · BUF Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Kesselring, Krebs, Byram

  16. P1 14:48Goal by Rust (Kindel)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Rust, Shea, Kindel · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Doan

  17. P1 16:52Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 18:19Shot by Quinn, saved by Silovs
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:38Dahlin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Clifton, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · BUF Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Doan, Ostlund

  22. P2 0:38Malkin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Clifton, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · BUF Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Doan, Ostlund

  23. P2 0:38Malkin: Slashing (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Clifton, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · BUF Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Doan, Ostlund

  24. P2 0:38Malkin: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Clifton, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · BUF Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Doan, Ostlund

  25. P2 1:18Shot by Doan, saved by Silovs4v5
  26. P2 3:09Shot by Zucker, saved by Silovs4v5
  27. P2 4:07Shot by Doan, saved by Silovs4v5
  28. P2 4:10Goal by Norris (Doan, Byram)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Girard, Lizotte, Kindel · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Byram, Doan

  29. P2 4:10Chinakhov: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Letang, Girard, Lizotte, Kindel · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Byram, Doan

  30. P2 5:06Shot by Dahlin, saved by Silovs3v5
  31. P2 5:25McLeod: Slashing (2 min)3v5

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Acciari, Shea · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Ostlund

  32. P2 5:37Shot by Tuch, saved by Silovs3v4
  33. P2 5:45Shot by Lizotte, saved by Luukkonen4v4
  34. P2 6:18Goal by Tuch (Power, Thompson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Karlsson, Chinakhov, Hayes, Kindel · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Power, Ostlund

  35. P2 8:14Shot by Hayes, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 8:31Shot by Rust, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 9:28Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 10:14Shot by Doan, saved by Silovs
  39. P2 10:20Shot by Dahlin, saved by Silovs
  40. P2 10:30Goal by Power (Norris, Ostlund)+9 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Novak, Wotherspoon, Chinakhov, Hayes · BUF Norris, Dahlin, Doan, Power, Ostlund

  41. P2 11:55Shot by Dewar, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 12:37Shot by Tuch, saved by Silovs
  43. P2 13:00Shot by Rakell, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 14:44Malenstyn: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, Kindel · BUF Malenstyn, Dahlin, Dunne, Power, Benson

  45. P2 17:36Shot by Acciari, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 18:37Shot by Rust, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P2 18:39Shot by Rakell, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P2 19:03Shot by Karlsson, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P2 19:12Shot by Rust, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P2 19:42Shot by Letang, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 2:57Shot by Dewar, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 3:59Shot by Krebs, saved by Silovs
  55. P3 5:20Shot by Dunne, saved by Silovs
  56. P3 5:54Shot by Lizotte, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 7:04Kindel: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Shea, Brazeau, Hayes, Kindel · BUF Malenstyn, Thompson, Dahlin, Kesselring, Krebs

  58. P3 7:29Shot by Dahlin, saved by Silovs4v5
  59. P3 8:25Shot by Dahlin, saved by Silovs4v5
  60. P3 11:41Shot by Shea, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 11:52Shot by Mantha, saved by Luukkonen
  62. P3 11:54Dahlin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Novak, Shea, Brazeau · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Kesselring, Krebs

  63. P3 12:46Shot by Rust, saved by Luukkonen6v4
  64. P3 14:03Shot by Brazeau, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  65. P3 14:09Shot by Acciari, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  66. P3 14:45Shot by Brazeau, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  67. P3 16:06Shot by Novak, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  68. P3 16:53Goal by Samuelsson, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Rakell, Mantha, Girard, Chinakhov, Kindel · BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, Benson

  69. P3 17:41Shot by Kesselring, saved by Silovs
  70. P3 18:31Shot by Byram, saved by Silovs
  71. P3 18:44Shot by Quinn, saved by Silovs
  72. P3 19:59Shot by Hayes, saved by Luukkonen
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final