Thu, Mar 5, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 68% of the time.
25%
8%
60%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.03 | 59.9% | +17.3 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:29 | 0.35 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.34 | 49.8% | +0.2 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 20:45 | 0.09 | 47.7% | +22.4 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.16 | 16.1% | +13.9 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:28 | 0.71 | 73.0% | +17.3 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.26 | 66.0% | +15.6 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.42 | 63.5% | +25.8 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:37 | 0.19 | 18.1% | +13.9 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.03 | 66.7% | +8.5 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.47 | 66.0% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.12 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael KesselringD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:58 | 0.05 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:49 | 0.27 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.02 | 12.9% | 0.0 |
 Josh DunneC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:37 | 0.12 | 75.4% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.57 | +1.6 | 59:24 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:05 | 0.15 | 19.9% | 0.0 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:53 | 0.61 | 65.1% | +16.2 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.37 | 67.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan SheaD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.07 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
 Samuel GirardD · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.12 | 71.8% | 0.0 |
 Egor ChinakhovRW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.19 | 52.8% | 0.0 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.02 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.20 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.20 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.15 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
 Tommy NovakC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.06 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
 Parker WotherspoonD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 |
 Ben KindelC · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 45.0% | +16.2 |
 Connor DewarC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.02 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Justin BrazeauRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.17 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Avery HayesRW · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:43 | 0.05 | 25.6% | 0.0 |
 Evgeni MalkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:54 | 0.21 | 72.1% | 0.0 |
 Arturs Silovs#37 | L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 3.29 | −0.7 | 55:54 |