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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 5, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Ottawa Senators 4, Calgary Flames 1

Away

Ottawa Senators

4

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 92% of the time.

CGY winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Coleman, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:49Shot by Frost, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 6:50Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 7:04Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 7:34Shot by Batherson, saved by Cooley
  7. P1 7:38Shot by Stützle, saved by Cooley
  8. P1 7:44Shot by Sanderson, saved by Cooley
  9. P1 7:53Shot by Zub, saved by Cooley
  10. P1 8:34Giroux: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Hanley, Frost, Sharangovich, Parekh, Gridin · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  11. P1 8:48Shot by Farabee, saved by Ullmark5v4
  12. P1 11:43Shot by Chabot, saved by Cooley
  13. P1 13:25Shot by Spence, saved by Cooley
  14. P1 13:26Shot by Pinto, saved by Cooley
  15. P1 16:53Shot by Hanley, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 17:04Goal by Pospisil (Gridin, Sharangovich)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hanley, Pospisil, Sharangovich, Pachal, Gridin · OTT Jensen, MacDermid, Chabot, Zetterlund, Stützle

  17. P1 17:24Shot by Bahl, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 19:22Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Cooley
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:32Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Cooley
  22. P2 0:42Shot by Giroux, saved by Cooley
  23. P2 3:18Shot by Amadio, saved by Cooley
  24. P2 5:24Shot by Chabot, saved by Cooley
  25. P2 5:39Shot by Coleman, saved by Ullmark
  26. P2 7:09Shot by Spence, saved by Cooley
  27. P2 9:08Shot by Coronato, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 9:20Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Cooley
  29. P2 9:35Goal by Eller (Greig, Zetterlund)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Lomberg, Pospisil, Kuznetsov, Klapka, Parekh · OTT Eller, Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Greig

  30. P2 10:46Shot by Stützle, saved by Cooley
  31. P2 10:51Whitecloud: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Hanley, Whitecloud, Farabee, Zary · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Spence, Kleven, Stützle

  32. P2 13:13Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Cooley
  33. P2 13:31Shot by Pachal, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 13:56Shot by Sanderson, saved by Cooley
  35. P2 14:21Shot by Spence, saved by Cooley
  36. P2 15:20Shot by Coronato, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 16:10Shot by Parekh, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 16:31Amadio: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Farabee, Zary, Kuznetsov, Parekh · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Kleven

  39. P2 18:31Shot by Klapka, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 19:05Shot by Backlund, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:43Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Cooley5v6
  44. P3 1:46Coleman: Holding the stick (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Hanley, Frost, Sharangovich, Pachal, Gridin · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  45. P3 2:05Shot by Cozens, saved by Cooley4v5
  46. P3 3:57Shot by Coleman, saved by Ullmark
  47. P3 5:20Shot by Jensen, saved by Cooley
  48. P3 5:52Klapka: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Hanley, Lomberg, Pospisil, Pachal, Klapka · OTT Giroux, Eller, Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund

  49. P3 6:33Goal by Cozens (Tkachuk, Batherson)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Whitecloud, Farabee, Bahl, Sharangovich · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle

  50. P3 6:43Shot by Amadio, saved by Cooley
  51. P3 6:44Shot by Pinto, saved by Cooley
  52. P3 6:54Shot by Batherson, saved by Cooley
  53. P3 7:58Parekh: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Frost, Sharangovich, Kuznetsov, Parekh, Gridin · OTT Tkachuk, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  54. P3 8:19Shot by Sanderson, saved by Cooley4v5
  55. P3 8:42Shot by Sanderson, saved by Cooley4v5
  56. P3 9:08Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Cooley4v5
  57. P3 9:53Shot by Chabot, saved by Cooley4v5
  58. P3 10:05Shot by Pinto, saved by Cooley
  59. P3 10:09Shot by Greig, saved by Cooley
  60. P3 14:48Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 15:04Shot by Amadio, saved by Cooley
  62. P3 16:07Shot by Kadri, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 16:23Zub: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Farabee, Bahl, Zary, Parekh · OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  64. P3 16:45Shot by Stützle, saved by Cooley5v4
  65. P3 17:59Goal by Stützle, unassisted6v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Frost, Bahl, Sharangovich, Zary · OTT Jensen, Amadio, Kleven, Stützle

  66. P3 18:16Shot by Coronato, saved by Ullmark5v4
  67. P3 18:21Shot by Chabot, saved by Cooley5v4
  68. P3 19:35Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Ullmark6v5
  69. P3 19:46Goal by Pinto (Amadio, Zub)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Farabee, Bahl, Zary, Parekh · OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final