Thu, Mar 5, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Ottawa Senators 4, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 92% of the time.
88%
CGY winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:14 | 0.16 | 67.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 23:51 | 0.31 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:38 | 1.01 | 64.2% | +10.8 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.27 | 83.0% | +21.2 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.01 | 57.1% | +0.1 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:50 | 0.99 | 79.9% | +0.1 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.19 | 72.9% | +24.6 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.13 | 46.3% | +21.2 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:25 | 0.18 | 55.5% | +0.1 |
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.27 | 84.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.00 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.18 | 89.1% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.35 | 49.9% | +21.2 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.00 | 83.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Lars EllerC · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.12 | 74.4% | +24.6 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:03 | 0.30 | 66.2% | +24.6 |
 Kurtis MacDermidLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 2:02 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | W | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 1.39 | +0.4 | 59:20 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:59 | 0.01 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:45 | 0.01 | 24.1% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:21 | 0.07 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.25 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Zayne ParekhD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.05 | 26.1% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.02 | 17.5% | 0.0 |
 Yan KuznetsovD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.04 | 23.6% | 0.0 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.26 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
 Connor ZaryC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.02 | 8.6% | 0.0 |
 Joel HanleyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.04 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.19 | 31.1% | +18.6 |
 Joel FarabeeLW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.11 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PachalD · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
 Matvei GridinRW · #92 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.05 | 30.7% | +18.6 |
 Morgan FrostC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.07 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
 Martin PospisilC · #76 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.11 | 33.1% | +18.6 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:40 | 0.05 | 26.4% | 0.0 |
 Adam KlapkaRW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:21 | 0.05 | 26.4% | 0.0 |
 Devin Cooley#1 | L | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.59 | +1.6 | 58:40 |