Thu, Mar 5, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Ottawa Senators 4, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 92% of the time.
88%
CGY winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | Cousins–Amadio–Pinto | Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | Eller–Amadio–Zetterlund | Eller–MacDermid–Zetterlund | Cousins–Amadio–Stützle | Sanderson–Zub | Jensen–Chabot | Spence–Kleven | Chabot–Spence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backlund–Coleman–Coronato | 5:150.15–0.35 | 0:410.07–0.01 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:220.03–0.32 | 4:340.21–0.16 | 2:070.13–0.11 | 0:390.00–0.05 | ||
| Kadri–Farabee–Zary | 1:250.00–0.31 | 2:170.08–0.00 | 2:290.00–0.00 | 3:050.00–0.00 | 1:470.08–0.12 | 2:000.00–0.22 | ||||
| Frost–Sharangovich–Gridin | 0:390.00–0.12 | 2:300.01–0.33 | 1:420.02–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:400.02–0.12 | 0:470.00–0.12 | 2:570.01–0.21 | |||
| Lomberg–Pospisil–Klapka | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:210.05–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.12 | 1:170.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Kadri–Lomberg–Klapka | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:060.01–0.15 | 0:450.05–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.15 | ||||||
| Kadri–Pospisil–Zary | 0:490.00–0.07 | 0:410.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Backlund–Zary–Coronato | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Whitecloud–Bahl | 5:090.06–0.40 | 1:250.07–0.00 | 5:100.01–0.18 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 5:490.01–0.19 | 3:100.00–0.13 | 3:500.13–0.25 | |||
| Kuznetsov–Parekh | 0:450.00–0.23 | 4:100.07–0.30 | 0:490.06–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:540.15–0.19 | 2:470.13–0.36 | 3:230.00–0.18 | |||
| Hanley–Pachal | 2:360.10–0.11 | 1:030.00–0.22 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.07 | 5:000.34–0.37 | 1:330.00–0.06 | 0:430.00–0.05 | ||
| Whitecloud–Kuznetsov | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:540.02–0.00 | 0:470.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Hanley–Whitecloud | 1:010.00–0.17 | |||||||||
| Bahl–Pachal | 0:510.18–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Pachal–Kuznetsov | 0:320.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Hanley–Parekh | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Kevin BahlCGY | 36 | 24:59 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 2 | 12 |
 Zach WhitecloudCGY | 33 | 24:45 | 0:45 | 1:42 | 3 | 12 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 30 | 24:14 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 33 | 23:51 | 0:43 | 1:59 | 8 | 3 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 25 | 22:38 | 0:54 | 2:32 | 7 | 2 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 26 | 21:21 | 0:49 | 1:43 | 0 | 8 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 19 | 19:49 | 1:03 | 1:52 | 3 | 3 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 23 | 18:36 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 8 | 1 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 29 | 18:35 | 0:38 | 1:45 | 4 | 3 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 30 | 17:50 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 1 | 5 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 30 | 17:45 | 0:36 | 1:15 | 3 | 3 |
 Zayne ParekhCGY | 23 | 17:36 | 0:46 | 2:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 23 | 17:29 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 4 | 0 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 28 | 17:25 | 0:37 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 23 | 17:13 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 2 | 0 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 24 | 16:59 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 3 | 1 |
 Yan KuznetsovCGY | 25 | 16:58 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 25 | 16:54 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 23 | 16:53 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 0 | 9 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 23 | 16:38 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 5 | 0 |
 Connor ZaryCGY | 22 | 16:34 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 1 | 0 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 23 | 16:30 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 7 | 0 |
 Joel HanleyCGY | 26 | 16:22 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 23 | 16:15 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Joel FarabeeCGY | 22 | 15:54 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 26 | 15:27 | 0:36 | 1:01 | 4 | 1 |
 Brayden PachalCGY | 25 | 14:12 | 0:34 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |
 Matvei GridinCGY | 19 | 13:47 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 4 | 0 |
 Morgan FrostCGY | 19 | 13:31 | 0:43 | 1:59 | 3 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 20 | 12:25 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 1 | 2 |
 Martin PospisilCGY | 17 | 11:29 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 16 | 10:19 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 4 | 2 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 16 | 9:03 | 0:34 | 0:56 | 4 | 1 |
 Ryan LombergCGY | 12 | 8:40 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 1 | 2 |
 Adam KlapkaCGY | 13 | 8:21 | 0:39 | 0:56 | 1 | 3 |
 Kurtis MacDermidOTT | 4 | 2:02 | 0:31 | 0:39 | 0 | 0 |