Fri, Mar 6, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Colorado Avalanche 5, Dallas Stars 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 67% of the time.
60%
26%
DAL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 27:46 | 0.18 | 33.4% | +27.5 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 27:21 | 0.28 | 49.7% | +41.1 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 5 | 26:55 | 0.57 | 42.2% | +92.7 |
 Brock NelsonC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:50 | 0.48 | 26.5% | +51.6 |
 Devon ToewsD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 23:43 | 0.41 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 Gabriel LandeskogLW · #92 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:54 | 0.13 | 30.3% | +13.6 |
 Valeri NichushkinRW · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.47 | 48.0% | +51.6 |
 Sam MalinskiD · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 18.1% | 0.0 |
 Brent BurnsD · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.01 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Brett KulakD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0 |
 Josh MansonD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.08 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.17 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Parker KellyC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
 Jack DruryC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 |
 Joel KivirantaLW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.04 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.12 | 24.4% | 0.0 |
 Gavin BrindleyC · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:07 | 0.14 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 Zakhar BardakovC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Mackenzie Blackwood#39 | – | 11 | 7 | 4 | .636 | 1.48 | −2.5 | 21:47 |
 Scott Wedgewood#41 | W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.08 | +2.1 | 41:01 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Miro HeiskanenD · #4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 31:46 | 0.51 | 63.6% | +30.0 |
 Esa LindellD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:48 | 0.04 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Wyatt JohnstonC · #53 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24:14 | 0.21 | 48.1% | +30.0 |
 Thomas HarleyD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:36 | 0.10 | 66.0% | 0.0 |
 Jason RobertsonLW · #21 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:12 | 0.71 | 51.2% | +30.0 |
 Justin HryckowianC · #49 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.30 | 76.7% | +26.4 |
 Sam SteelC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.10 | 71.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt DucheneC · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:41 | 0.40 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
 Mavrik BourqueC · #22 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.29 | 66.9% | +26.4 |
 Nils LundkvistD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.01 | 75.4% | 0.0 |
 Jamie BennLW · #14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:27 | 1.15 | 66.0% | +13.5 |
 Lian BichselD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.02 | 56.7% | 0.0 |
 Adam ErneLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 75.7% | 0.0 |
 Roope HintzC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:26 | 0.05 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Oskar BäckC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 93.7% | 0.0 |
 Colin BlackwellC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.03 | 89.2% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.23 | 60.5% | 0.0 |
 Nathan BastianRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.08 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Jake Oettinger#29 | O | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.10 | −0.9 | 64:36 |