Fri, Mar 6, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Colorado Avalanche 5, Dallas Stars 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 67% of the time.
60%
26%
DAL winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Landeskog–MacKinnon–Necas | Nelson–Nichushkin–Colton | Roy–Kelly–Kiviranta | Kelly–Drury–Bardakov | Kelly–Drury–Kiviranta | Drury–Bardakov–Brindley | Drury–Kiviranta–Bardakov | Roy–Kelly–Brindley | Kulak–Malinski | Toews–Makar | Burns–Manson | Burns–Toews | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benn–Duchene–Steel | 0:400.05–0.00 | 1:280.08–0.12 | 1:220.23–0.12 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.04 | 0:550.10–0.00 | 3:360.30–0.12 | 3:030.18–0.13 | ||||
| Erne–Bourque–Hryckowian | 1:020.00–0.00 | 3:580.33–0.10 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 2:300.01–0.06 | |||||||
| Hintz–Robertson–Johnston | 3:350.00–0.10 | 0:340.09–0.00 | 4:450.12–0.34 | |||||||||
| Blackwell–Bastian–Bäck | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:450.03–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Robertson–Bourque–Johnston | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.21 | ||||||||||
| Bäck–Bourque–Hryckowian | 1:320.17–0.00 | 0:540.02–0.00 | 0:500.17–0.00 | |||||||||
| Erne–Bastian–Bäck | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Robertson–Johnston–Hryckowian | 1:240.16–0.02 | 1:240.16–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Steel–Bourque–Hryckowian | 0:380.09–0.00 | 0:500.09–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Blackwell–Robertson–Johnston | 0:460.25–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Hintz–Robertson–Bourque | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Lindell–Heiskanen | 9:160.58–0.28 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:480.30–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 10:310.87–0.44 | 2:110.00–0.08 | ||||||
| Lundkvist–Harley | 1:000.05–0.00 | 5:180.41–0.15 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.04 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 4:560.14–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 4:560.09–0.10 | |||
| Lyubushkin–Bichsel | 1:470.23–0.12 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:490.10–0.00 | 3:510.36–0.12 | 3:170.35–0.34 | ||||||
| Harley–Bichsel | 0:380.02–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.12 | ||||||||||
| Lindell–Harley | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Lundkvist–Bichsel | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DALCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 28 | 31:46 | 1:08 | 3:32 | 5 | 7 |
 Cale MakarCOL | 30 | 27:46 | 0:56 | 2:42 | 8 | 4 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 27 | 27:21 | 1:01 | 2:41 | 9 | 2 |
 Martin NecasCOL | 27 | 26:55 | 1:00 | 2:44 | 9 | 3 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 25 | 25:48 | 1:02 | 2:55 | 3 | 8 |
 Brock NelsonCOL | 28 | 24:50 | 0:53 | 2:20 | 6 | 4 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 30 | 24:14 | 0:48 | 1:54 | 4 | 6 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 31 | 23:43 | 0:46 | 1:43 | 6 | 4 |
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 33 | 23:36 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 4 | 5 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 23 | 22:54 | 1:00 | 2:53 | 8 | 1 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 27 | 22:12 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Justin HryckowianDAL | 26 | 20:22 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 1 | 4 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 27 | 19:15 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 3 | 4 |
 Sam SteelDAL | 26 | 17:47 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 2 | 5 |
 Matt DucheneDAL | 24 | 17:41 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 3 | 1 |
 Sam MalinskiCOL | 20 | 17:12 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 3 | 1 |
 Brent BurnsCOL | 24 | 17:12 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 1 | 4 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 23 | 17:10 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 2 | 3 |
 Brett KulakCOL | 22 | 16:07 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 2 | 2 |
 Nils LundkvistDAL | 26 | 15:46 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 2 | 3 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 22 | 15:36 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 0 | 3 |
 Jamie BennDAL | 22 | 15:27 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 3 | 1 |
 Ross ColtonCOL | 21 | 13:46 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 23 | 12:46 | 0:33 | 1:01 | 1 | 3 |
 Lian BichselDAL | 17 | 12:37 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 0 | 1 |
 Adam ErneDAL | 16 | 12:09 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 1 | 2 |
 Jack DruryCOL | 18 | 11:38 | 0:39 | 1:30 | 1 | 6 |
 Roope HintzDAL | 14 | 11:26 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Joel KivirantaCOL | 18 | 10:54 | 0:36 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Oskar BäckDAL | 16 | 10:53 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Colin BlackwellDAL | 17 | 10:37 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Ilya LyubushkinDAL | 14 | 10:20 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Nicolas RoyCOL | 15 | 8:46 | 0:35 | 0:54 | 0 | 0 |
 Nathan BastianDAL | 12 | 8:16 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Gavin BrindleyCOL | 11 | 7:07 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 1 | 1 |
 Zakhar BardakovCOL | 9 | 6:09 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 0 | 2 |